Z.ai holds the strongest implied probability at 63% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end-September, driven by its August GLM-5.3 releases that lifted glm-5.3-flash to lab rank 3 behind Anthropic and Google in the latest September snapshot. Traders see limited near-term shifts because the resolution window is only days away and Z.ai’s open-weight models continue posting competitive math scores against proprietary leaders. Lower probabilities for Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI reflect their current positions outside the top three, while established labs like Google and Meta face slim odds of dropping or surging in the final stretch absent major new model drops.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor Text Arena Math AI Lab no final de setembro?
Z.ai 63.0%
Alibaba 17%
Google 10%
Meta 6.2%
$66,539 Vol.
$66,539 Vol.

Z.ai
63%

Alibaba
17%

10%

Meta
6%

OpenAI
5%

Moonshot
5%

SpaceXAI
1%

Xiaomi
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Anthropic
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 63.0%
Alibaba 17%
Google 10%
Meta 6.2%
$66,539 Vol.
$66,539 Vol.

Z.ai
63%

Alibaba
17%

10%

Meta
6%

OpenAI
5%

Moonshot
5%

SpaceXAI
1%

Xiaomi
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Anthropic
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Fonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Z.ai holds the strongest implied probability at 63% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end-September, driven by its August GLM-5.3 releases that lifted glm-5.3-flash to lab rank 3 behind Anthropic and Google in the latest September snapshot. Traders see limited near-term shifts because the resolution window is only days away and Z.ai’s open-weight models continue posting competitive math scores against proprietary leaders. Lower probabilities for Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI reflect their current positions outside the top three, while established labs like Google and Meta face slim odds of dropping or surging in the final stretch absent major new model drops.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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