Google's Gemini 3.x models, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.8 variants, hold strong second-place positioning in the Text Arena math category behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 81.5% market-implied odds for second-best lab by September 30. Recent arena votes and preliminary lab rankings as of mid-September show Google's edge in math-specific Elo over OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases and Chinese labs like Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi, which trail further in head-to-head math prompts. With resolution imminent and no major new model drops reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects these stable capability gaps in reasoning benchmarks and live evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 82%
OpenAI 7.7%
Anthropic 6.3%
Meta 3.7%
$60,911 Vol.
$60,911 Vol.
30 set 2026
82%
OpenAI
8%
Anthropic
6%
Meta
4%
Alibaba
2%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 82%
OpenAI 7.7%
Anthropic 6.3%
Meta 3.7%
$60,911 Vol.
$60,911 Vol.
30 set 2026
$20,247 Vol.
82%
OpenAI
$6,978 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$7,789 Vol.
6%
Meta
$1,620 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$5,827 Vol.
2%
Moonshot
$1,779 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,317 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$1,472 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$1,368 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,262 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3.x models, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.8 variants, hold strong second-place positioning in the Text Arena math category behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 81.5% market-implied odds for second-best lab by September 30. Recent arena votes and preliminary lab rankings as of mid-September show Google's edge in math-specific Elo over OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases and Chinese labs like Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi, which trail further in head-to-head math prompts. With resolution imminent and no major new model drops reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects these stable capability gaps in reasoning benchmarks and live evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$60,911Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini 3.x models, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.8 variants, hold strong second-place positioning in the Text Arena math category behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 81.5% market-implied odds for second-best lab by September 30. Recent arena votes and preliminary lab rankings as of mid-September show Google's edge in math-specific Elo over OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases and Chinese labs like Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi, which trail further in head-to-head math prompts. With resolution imminent and no major new model drops reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects these stable capability gaps in reasoning benchmarks and live evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$60,911Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini 3.x models, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.8 variants, hold strong second-place positioning in the Text Arena math category behind Anthropic's leading Claude Opus and Fable series, driving the 81.5% market-implied odds for second-best lab by September 30. Recent arena votes and preliminary lab rankings as of mid-September show Google's edge in math-specific Elo over OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases and Chinese labs like Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi, which trail further in head-to-head math prompts. With resolution imminent and no major new model drops reported in the past week, trader consensus reflects these stable capability gaps in reasoning benchmarks and live evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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