Google's Gemini models, especially Gemini 3.7 Flash High and related variants scoring near 1525 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, anchor the 77.5% implied probability for second place behind Anthropic's Claude leaders. Traders cite consistent live-vote performance in math reasoning tasks, where Google's entries trail only a narrow cluster of proprietary Anthropic systems while outpacing OpenAI's GPT lines, Meta, and Chinese labs such as Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi. Recent Gemini updates have maintained this positioning without major slippage, and the short window to September 30 resolution limits upside for challengers. Lower odds for other labs reflect their current model placements and slower math-specific gains in the arena's Elo system.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 78%
Anthropic 11.7%
OpenAI 7.0%
Meta 3.4%
$59,262 Vol.
$59,262 Vol.
30 set 2026
78%
Anthropic
12%
OpenAI
7%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 78%
Anthropic 11.7%
OpenAI 7.0%
Meta 3.4%
$59,262 Vol.
$59,262 Vol.
30 set 2026
$19,076 Vol.
78%
Anthropic
$7,684 Vol.
12%
OpenAI
$6,968 Vol.
7%
Meta
$1,547 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$1,764 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$1,717 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$5,780 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,255 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,236 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models, especially Gemini 3.7 Flash High and related variants scoring near 1525 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, anchor the 77.5% implied probability for second place behind Anthropic's Claude leaders. Traders cite consistent live-vote performance in math reasoning tasks, where Google's entries trail only a narrow cluster of proprietary Anthropic systems while outpacing OpenAI's GPT lines, Meta, and Chinese labs such as Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi. Recent Gemini updates have maintained this positioning without major slippage, and the short window to September 30 resolution limits upside for challengers. Lower odds for other labs reflect their current model placements and slower math-specific gains in the arena's Elo system.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$59,262Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models, especially Gemini 3.7 Flash High and related variants scoring near 1525 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, anchor the 77.5% implied probability for second place behind Anthropic's Claude leaders. Traders cite consistent live-vote performance in math reasoning tasks, where Google's entries trail only a narrow cluster of proprietary Anthropic systems while outpacing OpenAI's GPT lines, Meta, and Chinese labs such as Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi. Recent Gemini updates have maintained this positioning without major slippage, and the short window to September 30 resolution limits upside for challengers. Lower odds for other labs reflect their current model placements and slower math-specific gains in the arena's Elo system.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$59,262Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models, especially Gemini 3.7 Flash High and related variants scoring near 1525 on the Text Arena math leaderboard, anchor the 77.5% implied probability for second place behind Anthropic's Claude leaders. Traders cite consistent live-vote performance in math reasoning tasks, where Google's entries trail only a narrow cluster of proprietary Anthropic systems while outpacing OpenAI's GPT lines, Meta, and Chinese labs such as Alibaba's Qwen or Moonshot's Kimi. Recent Gemini updates have maintained this positioning without major slippage, and the short window to September 30 resolution limits upside for challengers. Lower odds for other labs reflect their current model placements and slower math-specific gains in the arena's Elo system.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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