Recent model releases and benchmark results in agentic coding and autonomous task performance have tightened the race for third place among AI labs. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and related variants have posted competitive scores on coding agents and long-context benchmarks, closing ground on established U.S. systems while offering open-weight options that appeal to developers. Anthropic’s Claude family continues to lead many agent evaluations, yet the gap narrows as Chinese labs demonstrate rapid iteration. OpenAI’s unreleased Astra and GPT-5.6 variants show strong cyber and parallel-agent capabilities that could shift positioning before September. Traders view the outcome as fluid given fast-moving technical progress, distillation concerns, and upcoming capability demonstrations that may alter relative rankings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de setembro?
Terceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de setembro?
Anthropic 24%
Moonshot 23.8%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai 16%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Anthropic
24%
Moonshot
24%
OpenAI
16%
Z.ai
16%
Microsoft
9%
ByteDance
8%
Mistral
8%
Meta
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
Alibaba
4%
4%
Amazon
4%
Xiaomi
3%
MiniMax
3%
Nvidia
3%
Baidu
3%
Meituan
3%
DeepSeek
12%
Anthropic 24%
Moonshot 23.8%
OpenAI 16%
Z.ai 16%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Anthropic
$1,127 Vol.
24%
Moonshot
$129 Vol.
24%
OpenAI
$79 Vol.
16%
Z.ai
$79 Vol.
16%
Microsoft
$20 Vol.
9%
ByteDance
$60 Vol.
8%
Mistral
$72 Vol.
8%
Meta
$20 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$20 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$34 Vol.
4%
$20 Vol.
4%
Amazon
$33 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$25 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$20 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$20 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$54 Vol.
3%
Meituan
$20 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$69 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and benchmark results in agentic coding and autonomous task performance have tightened the race for third place among AI labs. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and related variants have posted competitive scores on coding agents and long-context benchmarks, closing ground on established U.S. systems while offering open-weight options that appeal to developers. Anthropic’s Claude family continues to lead many agent evaluations, yet the gap narrows as Chinese labs demonstrate rapid iteration. OpenAI’s unreleased Astra and GPT-5.6 variants show strong cyber and parallel-agent capabilities that could shift positioning before September. Traders view the outcome as fluid given fast-moving technical progress, distillation concerns, and upcoming capability demonstrations that may alter relative rankings.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$1,902Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and benchmark results in agentic coding and autonomous task performance have tightened the race for third place among AI labs. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and related variants have posted competitive scores on coding agents and long-context benchmarks, closing ground on established U.S. systems while offering open-weight options that appeal to developers. Anthropic’s Claude family continues to lead many agent evaluations, yet the gap narrows as Chinese labs demonstrate rapid iteration. OpenAI’s unreleased Astra and GPT-5.6 variants show strong cyber and parallel-agent capabilities that could shift positioning before September. Traders view the outcome as fluid given fast-moving technical progress, distillation concerns, and upcoming capability demonstrations that may alter relative rankings.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,902Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and benchmark results in agentic coding and autonomous task performance have tightened the race for third place among AI labs. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and related variants have posted competitive scores on coding agents and long-context benchmarks, closing ground on established U.S. systems while offering open-weight options that appeal to developers. Anthropic’s Claude family continues to lead many agent evaluations, yet the gap narrows as Chinese labs demonstrate rapid iteration. OpenAI’s unreleased Astra and GPT-5.6 variants show strong cyber and parallel-agent capabilities that could shift positioning before September. Traders view the outcome as fluid given fast-moving technical progress, distillation concerns, and upcoming capability demonstrations that may alter relative rankings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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