The closely contested Polymarket odds around 50% for multiple AI labs, with Moonshot at 41.5% and lower figures for established players like OpenAI and Anthropic, reflect intense competition in autonomous agent development. Trader sentiment hinges on recent model releases, benchmark performance in multi-step reasoning tasks, and demonstrated capabilities in real-world tool use and long-horizon planning. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, safety evaluations, and partnerships that could shift relative positioning before October. The market captures aggregated trader views on how quickly labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, or xAI can close gaps with leaders through specialized agent frameworks, while noting that rapid iteration and regulatory scrutiny add uncertainty to any ranking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Terceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Moonshot 42%
SpaceXAI 12.3%
Z.ai 7.1%
Google 7.1%
$22,535 Vol.
$22,535 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
42%
SpaceXAI
12%
Z.ai
7%
7%
OpenAI
6%
Xiaomi
5%
Alibaba
5%
DeepSeek
4%
Microsoft
4%
Anthropic
4%
ByteDance
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Baidu
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Moonshot 42%
SpaceXAI 12.3%
Z.ai 7.1%
Google 7.1%
$22,535 Vol.
$22,535 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
$9,984 Vol.
42%
SpaceXAI
$2,284 Vol.
12%
Z.ai
$454 Vol.
7%
$295 Vol.
7%
OpenAI
$5,002 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
Alibaba
$659 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$337 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$252 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$1,019 Vol.
4%
ByteDance
$473 Vol.
1%
Meta
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$224 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$184 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$224 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$201 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$229 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$224 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely contested Polymarket odds around 50% for multiple AI labs, with Moonshot at 41.5% and lower figures for established players like OpenAI and Anthropic, reflect intense competition in autonomous agent development. Trader sentiment hinges on recent model releases, benchmark performance in multi-step reasoning tasks, and demonstrated capabilities in real-world tool use and long-horizon planning. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, safety evaluations, and partnerships that could shift relative positioning before October. The market captures aggregated trader views on how quickly labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, or xAI can close gaps with leaders through specialized agent frameworks, while noting that rapid iteration and regulatory scrutiny add uncertainty to any ranking.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,535Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely contested Polymarket odds around 50% for multiple AI labs, with Moonshot at 41.5% and lower figures for established players like OpenAI and Anthropic, reflect intense competition in autonomous agent development. Trader sentiment hinges on recent model releases, benchmark performance in multi-step reasoning tasks, and demonstrated capabilities in real-world tool use and long-horizon planning. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, safety evaluations, and partnerships that could shift relative positioning before October. The market captures aggregated trader views on how quickly labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, or xAI can close gaps with leaders through specialized agent frameworks, while noting that rapid iteration and regulatory scrutiny add uncertainty to any ranking.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$22,535Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Polymarket odds around 50% for multiple AI labs, with Moonshot at 41.5% and lower figures for established players like OpenAI and Anthropic, reflect intense competition in autonomous agent development. Trader sentiment hinges on recent model releases, benchmark performance in multi-step reasoning tasks, and demonstrated capabilities in real-world tool use and long-horizon planning. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, safety evaluations, and partnerships that could shift relative positioning before October. The market captures aggregated trader views on how quickly labs like Moonshot, DeepSeek, or xAI can close gaps with leaders through specialized agent frameworks, while noting that rapid iteration and regulatory scrutiny add uncertainty to any ranking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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