Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 60B–US$ 70B 45%
US$70B–US$80B 18%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B 12%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B 10.0%
NOVO
$83,882 Vol.
NOVO
$83,882 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
7%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
12%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
45%
US$70B–US$80B
18%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
10%
US$90B–US$100B
8%
US$ 100B+
4%
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
<1%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B 45%
US$70B–US$80B 18%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B 12%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B 10.0%
NOVO
$83,882 Vol.
NOVO
$83,882 Vol.
14 mai 2026
<US$ 50B
$26,804 Vol.
7%
US$ 50B–US$ 60B
$12,271 Vol.
12%
US$ 60B–US$ 70B
$8,152 Vol.
45%
US$70B–US$80B
$6,801 Vol.
18%
US$ 80B–US$ 90B
$3,492 Vol.
10%
US$90B–US$100B
$8,222 Vol.
8%
US$ 100B+
$8,231 Vol.
4%
Sem IPO antes de julho de 2026
$9,977 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$83,882Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$83,882Data de Término
14 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' IPO closing market cap in the $60 billion–$70 billion range, reflecting surging demand for the AI chipmaker's wafer-scale technology amid the ongoing AI infrastructure boom. This positioning stems from the company's sharp IPO upsizing announced May 11, 2026—boosting the share price range to $150–$160 from $115–$125 and offering 30 million shares to raise up to $4.8 billion at a fully diluted ~$49 billion valuation—driven by over 20x oversubscription and reports of last-ditch buyout bids from Arm and SoftBank. Bolstered by 76% revenue growth to $510 million in 2025, GAAP profitability, and a $20 billion-plus OpenAI compute deal, traders anticipate a significant first-day pop on the May 14 Nasdaq debut under ticker CBRS, though $100 billion-plus odds remain slim at 3.5% due to competitive pressures from Nvidia.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions