Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) close behind, reflecting tempered enthusiasm despite leaked S-1 draft details targeting a $75 billion raise at $1.75-$2 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in late 2025, providing a baseline, while Starlink's expansion to 10 million subscribers drives projected 2026 revenue toward $22-24 billion—primarily funding $20 billion-plus annual capital expenditures for AI compute and launch infrastructure. Dual-class shares preserve Elon Musk's control, but execution risks in volatile equity markets and massive spending needs cap trader consensus on raise size ahead of the public S-1 filing and roadshow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
<40B
12%
40-50B
7%
50-60B
1%
60-70B
10%
70-80B
24%
80-90B
19%
90-100B
6%
100-110B
3%
110-120B
4%
120B+
6%
$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
<40B
$10,245 Vol.
12%
40-50B
$5,642 Vol.
7%
50-60B
$33,199 Vol.
1%
60-70B
$14,185 Vol.
10%
70-80B
$24,628 Vol.
24%
80-90B
$15,593 Vol.
19%
90-100B
$10,727 Vol.
6%
100-110B
$7,565 Vol.
3%
110-120B
$9,411 Vol.
4%
120B+
$7,767 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) close behind, reflecting tempered enthusiasm despite leaked S-1 draft details targeting a $75 billion raise at $1.75-$2 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in late 2025, providing a baseline, while Starlink's expansion to 10 million subscribers drives projected 2026 revenue toward $22-24 billion—primarily funding $20 billion-plus annual capital expenditures for AI compute and launch infrastructure. Dual-class shares preserve Elon Musk's control, but execution risks in volatile equity markets and massive spending needs cap trader consensus on raise size ahead of the public S-1 filing and roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$138,944Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) close behind, reflecting tempered enthusiasm despite leaked S-1 draft details targeting a $75 billion raise at $1.75-$2 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in late 2025, providing a baseline, while Starlink's expansion to 10 million subscribers drives projected 2026 revenue toward $22-24 billion—primarily funding $20 billion-plus annual capital expenditures for AI compute and launch infrastructure. Dual-class shares preserve Elon Musk's control, but execution risks in volatile equity markets and massive spending needs cap trader consensus on raise size ahead of the public S-1 filing and roadshow.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$138,944Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign the highest implied probability (36.5%) to SpaceX raising $50-60 billion in its June 2026 IPO, with 70-80 billion (23.5%) and 80-90 billion (19.1%) close behind, reflecting tempered enthusiasm despite leaked S-1 draft details targeting a $75 billion raise at $1.75-$2 trillion valuation. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $800 billion in late 2025, providing a baseline, while Starlink's expansion to 10 million subscribers drives projected 2026 revenue toward $22-24 billion—primarily funding $20 billion-plus annual capital expenditures for AI compute and launch infrastructure. Dual-class shares preserve Elon Musk's control, but execution risks in volatile equity markets and massive spending needs cap trader consensus on raise size ahead of the public S-1 filing and roadshow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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