Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and detailed timeline shared in banker meetings, including a public S-1 prospectus expected late May, roadshow launch the week of June 8, and pricing potentially the following week at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation raising $75 billion—the largest in history. Strong Starlink revenue growth to $22–$24 billion projected for 2026 bolsters momentum, with up to 30% retail allocation signaling broad access. August at 21.7% reflects typical IPO slippage risks, while the upcoming S-1 release remains the key near-term catalyst amid historical delays in high-profile listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 67%
Agosto 21.8%
Julho 9.2%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 5.1%
$335,366 Vol.
$335,366 Vol.
Maio
1%
Junho
67%
Julho
9%
Agosto
22%
Setembro
3%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
5%
Junho 67%
Agosto 21.8%
Julho 9.2%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 5.1%
$335,366 Vol.
$335,366 Vol.
Maio
1%
Junho
67%
Julho
9%
Agosto
22%
Setembro
3%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 67% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and detailed timeline shared in banker meetings, including a public S-1 prospectus expected late May, roadshow launch the week of June 8, and pricing potentially the following week at a $1.75–$2 trillion valuation raising $75 billion—the largest in history. Strong Starlink revenue growth to $22–$24 billion projected for 2026 bolsters momentum, with up to 30% retail allocation signaling broad access. August at 21.7% reflects typical IPO slippage risks, while the upcoming S-1 release remains the key near-term catalyst amid historical delays in high-profile listings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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