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icon for Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?
Finanças·IPOs

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?

icon for Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?
Finanças·IPOs

Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?

Polymarket

$1,488,710 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,488,710 Vol.

US$ 800 bilhões

$95,730 Vol.

71%

US$ 1 trilhão

$1,041,440 Vol.

60%

US$1,2 tri

$247,610 Vol.

57%

US$ 1,4 tri

$59,656 Vol.

55%

US$ 1,6 trilhão

$44,274 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sky-high expectations for its potential Q4 2026 IPO closing market cap, anchored by the company's March 2026 funding round that raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank—amid $25 billion annualized revenue. Recent Wall Street Journal reports of missed internal user growth and revenue targets, coupled with CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the IPO to 2027 due to $600 billion in compute commitments, have introduced caution, highlighting profitability risks in the AI sector's capital-intensive landscape. No S-1 filing yet, but informal bank talks and state AG calls for SEC scrutiny signal key upcoming catalysts, with traders weighing competitive pressures from Anthropic alongside surging AI demand.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,488,710
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sky-high expectations for its potential Q4 2026 IPO closing market cap, anchored by the company's March 2026 funding round that raised $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation—led by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank—amid $25 billion annualized revenue. Recent Wall Street Journal reports of missed internal user growth and revenue targets, coupled with CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the IPO to 2027 due to $600 billion in compute commitments, have introduced caution, highlighting profitability risks in the AI sector's capital-intensive landscape. No S-1 filing yet, but informal bank talks and state AG calls for SEC scrutiny signal key upcoming catalysts, with traders weighing competitive pressures from Anthropic alongside surging AI demand.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,488,710
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US$ 800 bilhões" at 71%, followed by "US$ 1 trilhão" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?" is "US$ 800 bilhões" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "US$ 1 trilhão" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da OpenAI acima de ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.