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Finanças·IPOs

IPO antrópico por __?

icon for IPO antrópico por __?
Finanças·IPOs

IPO antrópico por __?

$296,301 Vol.

1 jul 2027
Polymarket

$296,301 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$26,086 Vol.

<1%

31 de julho de 2026

$29,756 Vol.

2%

15 de setembro de 2026

$16,168 Vol.

8%

30 de setembro de 2026

$128,301 Vol.

16%

31 de outubro de 2026

$44,938 Vol.

68%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$51,052 Vol.

77%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, serves as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for a 2026 IPO. The filing follows a $65 billion Series H round in late May that valued the company at $965 billion post-money, more than doubling its February 2026 valuation of $380 billion and pushing annualized revenue run-rate above $47 billion. Traders are pricing in strong likelihood of a second-half listing, potentially as early as fall, contingent on SEC review timelines, equity-market conditions, and continued enterprise adoption of Claude. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s subsequent filing and the broader AI-sector appetite for public-market liquidity further support elevated probabilities, though final pricing and timing remain sensitive to macroeconomic volatility and regulatory feedback.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$296,301
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, serves as the dominant driver of market-implied odds for a 2026 IPO. The filing follows a $65 billion Series H round in late May that valued the company at $965 billion post-money, more than doubling its February 2026 valuation of $380 billion and pushing annualized revenue run-rate above $47 billion. Traders are pricing in strong likelihood of a second-half listing, potentially as early as fall, contingent on SEC review timelines, equity-market conditions, and continued enterprise adoption of Claude. Competitive pressure from OpenAI’s subsequent filing and the broader AI-sector appetite for public-market liquidity further support elevated probabilities, though final pricing and timing remain sensitive to macroeconomic volatility and regulatory feedback.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$296,301
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO antrópico por __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 77%, followed by "31 de outubro de 2026" at 68%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO antrópico por __?" has generated $296.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO antrópico por __?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO antrópico por __?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de outubro de 2026" at 68%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO antrópico por __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.