Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not translated into a public S-1 or listing, shifting market-implied odds heavily toward no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 78.5%. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, reflecting compressed multiples for consumer platforms amid stronger demand for AI-related listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion and 11–14 billion brackets trail at single-digit probabilities. Trader consensus prices in continued delays driven by valuation realism and regulatory timelines, with no near-term catalysts evident to alter the path.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoValor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Valor de mercado de fechamento do IPO do Discord
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 78.6%
11–14B 7.8%
20B+ 4.9%
8–11B 4.7%
$87,705 Vol.
$87,705 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
2%
5–8B
1%
8–11B
5%
11–14B
8%
14–17B
2%
17–20B
3%
20B+
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
79%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027 78.6%
11–14B 7.8%
20B+ 4.9%
8–11B 4.7%
$87,705 Vol.
$87,705 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<5B
$15,972 Vol.
2%
5–8B
$5,050 Vol.
1%
8–11B
$14,189 Vol.
5%
11–14B
$11,064 Vol.
8%
14–17B
$3,001 Vol.
2%
17–20B
$5,497 Vol.
3%
20B+
$5,169 Vol.
5%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$27,761 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not translated into a public S-1 or listing, shifting market-implied odds heavily toward no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 78.5%. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, reflecting compressed multiples for consumer platforms amid stronger demand for AI-related listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion and 11–14 billion brackets trail at single-digit probabilities. Trader consensus prices in continued delays driven by valuation realism and regulatory timelines, with no near-term catalysts evident to alter the path.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$87,705Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not translated into a public S-1 or listing, shifting market-implied odds heavily toward no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 78.5%. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, reflecting compressed multiples for consumer platforms amid stronger demand for AI-related listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion and 11–14 billion brackets trail at single-digit probabilities. Trader consensus prices in continued delays driven by valuation realism and regulatory timelines, with no near-term catalysts evident to alter the path.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$87,705Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have not translated into a public S-1 or listing, shifting market-implied odds heavily toward no IPO by December 31, 2027 at 78.5%. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5 billion as of mid-2026, well below the 2021 $15 billion peak, reflecting compressed multiples for consumer platforms amid stronger demand for AI-related listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and annualized revenue in the $600–900 million range, the 8–11 billion and 11–14 billion brackets trail at single-digit probabilities. Trader consensus prices in continued delays driven by valuation realism and regulatory timelines, with no near-term catalysts evident to alter the path.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions