Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<US$150B 67%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B 67%
US$300B-US$350B 67%
US$350B–US$400B 67%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
67%
US$150B–US$200B
60%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
67%
US$250B-US$300B
60%
US$300B-US$350B
67%
US$350B–US$400B
67%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
60%
US$450B+
67%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
64%
<US$150B 67%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B 67%
US$300B-US$350B 67%
US$350B–US$400B 67%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
$0 Vol.
67%
US$150B–US$200B
$0 Vol.
60%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
$18 Vol.
67%
US$250B-US$300B
$18 Vol.
60%
US$300B-US$350B
$18 Vol.
67%
US$350B–US$400B
$18 Vol.
67%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
$0 Vol.
60%
US$450B+
$0 Vol.
67%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$172 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$244Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$244Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions