Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the restaurant operator's repeated filing delays and withdrawals, including a March 16, 2026, F-1/A upsizing to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6 before retracting it. No new SEC effectiveness, roadshow, or Nasdaq listing confirmation has emerged in the past 60 days, overriding optimistic calendars projecting May 14 pricing despite thin liquidity amplifying caution as the May 31 cutoff nears. Trailing odds cluster on 90M–130M closing caps per terms, but realistic scenarios like regulatory hurdles or market conditions could sustain the no-IPO lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRiku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap
Riku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.5%
90M–110M 2.1%
130M–150M 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
27 mai 2026
<90M
1%
90M–110M
2%
110M–130M
4%
130M–150M
2%
150M+
1%
No IPO before June 2026
90%
No IPO before June 2026 90%
110M–130M 3.5%
90M–110M 2.1%
130M–150M 2.0%
NOVO
NOVO
27 mai 2026
<90M
$1,753 Vol.
1%
90M–110M
$336 Vol.
2%
110M–130M
$312 Vol.
4%
130M–150M
$712 Vol.
2%
150M+
$815 Vol.
1%
No IPO before June 2026
$6,054 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the restaurant operator's repeated filing delays and withdrawals, including a March 16, 2026, F-1/A upsizing to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6 before retracting it. No new SEC effectiveness, roadshow, or Nasdaq listing confirmation has emerged in the past 60 days, overriding optimistic calendars projecting May 14 pricing despite thin liquidity amplifying caution as the May 31 cutoff nears. Trailing odds cluster on 90M–130M closing caps per terms, but realistic scenarios like regulatory hurdles or market conditions could sustain the no-IPO lead.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$9,982Data de Término
27 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the restaurant operator's repeated filing delays and withdrawals, including a March 16, 2026, F-1/A upsizing to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6 before retracting it. No new SEC effectiveness, roadshow, or Nasdaq listing confirmation has emerged in the past 60 days, overriding optimistic calendars projecting May 14 pricing despite thin liquidity amplifying caution as the May 31 cutoff nears. Trailing odds cluster on 90M–130M closing caps per terms, but realistic scenarios like regulatory hurdles or market conditions could sustain the no-IPO lead.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 27 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$9,982Data de Término
27 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Riku Dining Group IPO before June 2026 at 89.5% implied probability, driven by the restaurant operator's repeated filing delays and withdrawals, including a March 16, 2026, F-1/A upsizing to 5 million Class A shares at $4–$6 before retracting it. No new SEC effectiveness, roadshow, or Nasdaq listing confirmation has emerged in the past 60 days, overriding optimistic calendars projecting May 14 pricing despite thin liquidity amplifying caution as the May 31 cutoff nears. Trailing odds cluster on 90M–130M closing caps per terms, but realistic scenarios like regulatory hurdles or market conditions could sustain the no-IPO lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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