Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 76.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his recent surge in an open seat race with 13 candidates splintering the vote. A campaign internal poll from May 5-7 showed him leading at 19%—up from 5% a month prior—after a pro-Hamawy super PAC spent $1 million on ads, boosting name recognition and favorability. Hamawy announced surpassing $1 million raised on May 13, outpacing rivals like Brad Cohen and Susan Altman. Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 3 endorsement and progressive backing further solidify his position, while Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Altman trail amid split county Democratic committee endorsements and limited opponent ad spending.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAdam Hamawy 78%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%
Susan Altman 8%
Brad Cohen 3.5%
$33,389 Vol.
$33,389 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
78%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
10%
Susan Altman
8%
Brad Cohen
3%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Raymond Heck
1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
Matthew Adams
<1%
Adam Hamawy 78%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%
Susan Altman 8%
Brad Cohen 3.5%
$33,389 Vol.
$33,389 Vol.
Adam Hamawy
78%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
10%
Susan Altman
8%
Brad Cohen
3%
Kyle Little
1%
Elijah Dixon
1%
Tennille R. McCoy
1%
Raymond Heck
1%
Adrian Mapp
<1%
Michael Anderson
<1%
Matthew Adams
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 76.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his recent surge in an open seat race with 13 candidates splintering the vote. A campaign internal poll from May 5-7 showed him leading at 19%—up from 5% a month prior—after a pro-Hamawy super PAC spent $1 million on ads, boosting name recognition and favorability. Hamawy announced surpassing $1 million raised on May 13, outpacing rivals like Brad Cohen and Susan Altman. Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 3 endorsement and progressive backing further solidify his position, while Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Altman trail amid split county Democratic committee endorsements and limited opponent ad spending.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions