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icon for Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Adam Hamawy 78%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Brad Cohen 3.5%

Polymarket

$33,389 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 78%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Brad Cohen 3.5%

Polymarket

$33,389 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$1,889 Vol.

78%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$1,196 Vol.

10%

Susan Altman

$14,968 Vol.

8%

Brad Cohen

$2,056 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$1,251 Vol.

1%

Elijah Dixon

$1,115 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,955 Vol.

1%

Raymond Heck

$1,415 Vol.

1%

Adrian Mapp

$1,076 Vol.

<1%

Michael Anderson

$2,394 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Adams

$1,075 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 76.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his recent surge in an open seat race with 13 candidates splintering the vote. A campaign internal poll from May 5-7 showed him leading at 19%—up from 5% a month prior—after a pro-Hamawy super PAC spent $1 million on ads, boosting name recognition and favorability. Hamawy announced surpassing $1 million raised on May 13, outpacing rivals like Brad Cohen and Susan Altman. Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 3 endorsement and progressive backing further solidify his position, while Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Altman trail amid split county Democratic committee endorsements and limited opponent ad spending.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,389
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 76.5% implied probability to win the NJ-12 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by his recent surge in an open seat race with 13 candidates splintering the vote. A campaign internal poll from May 5-7 showed him leading at 19%—up from 5% a month prior—after a pro-Hamawy super PAC spent $1 million on ads, boosting name recognition and favorability. Hamawy announced surpassing $1 million raised on May 13, outpacing rivals like Brad Cohen and Susan Altman. Sen. Bernie Sanders' May 3 endorsement and progressive backing further solidify his position, while Verlina Reynolds-Jackson and Altman trail amid split county Democratic committee endorsements and limited opponent ad spending.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$33,389
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamawy" at 78%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" has generated $33.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is "Adam Hamawy" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.