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icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Keiko Fujimori 62%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 35.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$50,543,248 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 62%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 35.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Jorge Nieto <1%

Polymarket

$50,543,248 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$6,287,080 Vol.

62%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$12,426,720 Vol.

35%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$11,581,063 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,473,295 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$2,144,791 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$642,951 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$246,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$324,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$205,716 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$143,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$161,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,555 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$437,428 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,138,549 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$277,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,052,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,041,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$802,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$702,747 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus prices Keiko Fujimori as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (35.3%), driven by her first-round victory with 17.2% of valid votes versus his 12.0%, officially confirmed May 12 after weeks of ballot delays, fraud claims by third-place Rafael López Aliaga, and a post-electoral crisis resolved by electoral authorities. Fujimori benefits from name recognition, Fuerza Popular's congressional strength, and likely right-wing vote consolidation amid voter priorities on crime, corruption, and instability. Late April-early May polls (Ipsos, IEP) show a deadlocked or narrowly tilting race with high undecideds, yet traders emphasize Fujimori's path-to-victory in this two-candidate ballot.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$50,543,248
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Trader consensus prices Keiko Fujimori as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (35.3%), driven by her first-round victory with 17.2% of valid votes versus his 12.0%, officially confirmed May 12 after weeks of ballot delays, fraud claims by third-place Rafael López Aliaga, and a post-electoral crisis resolved by electoral authorities. Fujimori benefits from name recognition, Fuerza Popular's congressional strength, and likely right-wing vote consolidation amid voter priorities on crime, corruption, and instability. Late April-early May polls (Ipsos, IEP) show a deadlocked or narrowly tilting race with high undecideds, yet traders emphasize Fujimori's path-to-victory in this two-candidate ballot.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$50,543,248
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 62%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" has generated $50.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.