Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the leading position in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September shows her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with minor candidates below 2% and notable undecided or blank shares. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ghassan due to her executive experience, broad coalition support, and consistent polling edge, while Daniel draws backing from opposition parties and his record as Ananindeua mayor. The contest remains competitive given the narrow gap in valid votes and potential for late shifts from undecided voters or campaign momentum in the final weeks before the possible October 25 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Éder Mauro 1.3%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Vol.
$45,834 Vol.
4 out 2026
Hana Ghassan
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
41%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 59%
Dr. Daniel Santos 41%
Éder Mauro 1.3%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Vol.
$45,834 Vol.
4 out 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,038 Vol.
59%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,154 Vol.
41%
Éder Mauro
$5,288 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,872 Vol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,855 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the leading position in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September shows her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with minor candidates below 2% and notable undecided or blank shares. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ghassan due to her executive experience, broad coalition support, and consistent polling edge, while Daniel draws backing from opposition parties and his record as Ananindeua mayor. The contest remains competitive given the narrow gap in valid votes and potential for late shifts from undecided voters or campaign momentum in the final weeks before the possible October 25 runoff.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$45,834Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the leading position in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September shows her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with minor candidates below 2% and notable undecided or blank shares. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ghassan due to her executive experience, broad coalition support, and consistent polling edge, while Daniel draws backing from opposition parties and his record as Ananindeua mayor. The contest remains competitive given the narrow gap in valid votes and potential for late shifts from undecided voters or campaign momentum in the final weeks before the possible October 25 runoff.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45,834Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan, the incumbent MDB governor who assumed office after Helder Barbalho's resignation, holds the leading position in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September shows her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with minor candidates below 2% and notable undecided or blank shares. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring Ghassan due to her executive experience, broad coalition support, and consistent polling edge, while Daniel draws backing from opposition parties and his record as Ananindeua mayor. The contest remains competitive given the narrow gap in valid votes and potential for late shifts from undecided voters or campaign momentum in the final weeks before the possible October 25 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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