Skip to main content
icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Política·Eleições Globais

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Política·Eleições Globais

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 62%

Elmano de Freitas 22%

Camilo Santana 6.8%

Roberto Cláudio 2.0%

Polymarket

$53,596 Vol.

Ciro Gomes 62%

Elmano de Freitas 22%

Camilo Santana 6.8%

Roberto Cláudio 2.0%

Polymarket

$53,596 Vol.

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$35,981 Vol.

62%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$5,657 Vol.

22%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$3,160 Vol.

7%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$1,785 Vol.

2%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$3,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$3,075 Vol.

8%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus favors Ciro Gomes at 61.5% implied probability to win the Ceará governorship on October 4, 2026, driven by his May 11 announcement confirming a state-focused candidacy over a presidential bid, alongside consistent leads in recent polls like Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel from late April showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 9-15 points in first-round scenarios. Freshest momentum comes from the PL party's May 14 endorsement of Gomes, defying national leadership and consolidating right-leaning support against PT candidates. Elmano trails at 22.5% amid polls testing PT alternatives like Camilo Santana (7.4%), while Eduardo Girão (8.5%), Capitão Wagner (3.9%), and Roberto Cláudio (2.0%) lag as fragmented challengers in a competitive multi-candidate field potentially heading to runoff.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,596
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus favors Ciro Gomes at 61.5% implied probability to win the Ceará governorship on October 4, 2026, driven by his May 11 announcement confirming a state-focused candidacy over a presidential bid, alongside consistent leads in recent polls like Quaest, Datafolha, and AtlasIntel from late April showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) by 9-15 points in first-round scenarios. Freshest momentum comes from the PL party's May 14 endorsement of Gomes, defying national leadership and consolidating right-leaning support against PT candidates. Elmano trails at 22.5% amid polls testing PT alternatives like Camilo Santana (7.4%), while Eduardo Girão (8.5%), Capitão Wagner (3.9%), and Roberto Cláudio (2.0%) lag as fragmented challengers in a competitive multi-candidate field potentially heading to runoff.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$53,596
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ceará Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ciro Gomes" at 62%, followed by "Elmano de Freitas" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ceará Governor Election Winner" has generated $53.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ceará Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ceará Governor Election Winner" is "Ciro Gomes" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elmano de Freitas" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ceará Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.