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icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu

icon for Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu

Ann Kao 86%

Chuang Ching-cheng 5.2%

Ho Chih-yung 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

Ann Kao 86%

Chuang Ching-cheng 5.2%

Ho Chih-yung 3.5%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

icon for Ann Kao

Ann Kao

$22,813 Vol.

86%

icon for Chuang Ching-cheng

Chuang Ching-cheng

$667 Vol.

5%

icon for Ho Chih-yung

Ho Chih-yung

$399 Vol.

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Ann Kao holds a commanding position in the Hsinchu City mayoral race as the incumbent independent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026.** Her acquittal on the primary corruption charge in December 2025, followed by reinstatement as mayor, removed a major legal obstacle and restored her eligibility. The Kuomintang has chosen not to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior Taiwan People’s Party affiliation. Recent polling from early September shows her at 48.6% support against DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng at 21.2% and independent Ho Chih-yung at 1.8%, with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided. Chuang’s nomination by the DPP Central Executive Committee in April 2026 positioned him as the main opposition contender, but his limited local ties and the split opposition field have constrained his momentum. Ho’s independent bid has drawn minimal backing. These dynamics—Kao’s restored incumbency advantage, cross-party tacit alignment on the opposition side, and consistent polling lead—underpin trader consensus favoring her outcome while assigning low probabilities to the alternatives.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$23,880
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Ann Kao holds a commanding position in the Hsinchu City mayoral race as the incumbent independent seeking re-election on November 28, 2026.** Her acquittal on the primary corruption charge in December 2025, followed by reinstatement as mayor, removed a major legal obstacle and restored her eligibility. The Kuomintang has chosen not to nominate a challenger, effectively consolidating pan-blue support behind her despite her prior Taiwan People’s Party affiliation. Recent polling from early September shows her at 48.6% support against DPP nominee Chuang Ching-cheng at 21.2% and independent Ho Chih-yung at 1.8%, with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided. Chuang’s nomination by the DPP Central Executive Committee in April 2026 positioned him as the main opposition contender, but his limited local ties and the split opposition field have constrained his momentum. Ho’s independent bid has drawn minimal backing. These dynamics—Kao’s restored incumbency advantage, cross-party tacit alignment on the opposition side, and consistent polling lead—underpin trader consensus favoring her outcome while assigning low probabilities to the alternatives.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$23,880
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ann Kao" at 86%, followed by "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu" has generated $23.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu" is "Ann Kao" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chuang Ching-cheng" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito da cidade de Hsinchu" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.