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Taiwan previsões e probabilidades

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends em 8 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$8M Vol.

$98.6K today

$69.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

1%

$78.3K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

8

Ends em 3 dias

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

19%

$557K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

15%

$183K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

5%

$461K Vol.

$73.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

11%

$30.7K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

65%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$831K Vol.

$671K today

$129K Liq.

73

Ends em cerca de 18 horas

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

92%

France

$436K Vol.

$140K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M Vol.

$666K Liq.

847

Ends em 3 meses

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

77%

AI Export Restrictions Relief

$19.4K Vol.

$76.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

45%

Pfizer

$82.8K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

29%

South Korea

$269K Vol.

$149K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

31

Ends em 7 meses

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

18%

December 31

$124K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

2%

$616K Vol.

$480K today

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

66%

$557K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

15

Ends há 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan.

Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for Taiwan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $60.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.