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Taiwan previsões e probabilidades

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6%

$37M Vol.

$84.9K today

$542K Liq.

73

Ends em 6 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$12M Vol.

$602K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$283K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

5%

$104K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

15%

$1M Vol.

$145K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

3%

$1M Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

8%

$3M Vol.

$49.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

12%

$261K Vol.

$79.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

7%

$46.1K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above __?

93%

$40B

$3.1K Vol.

$347 Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin?

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 gross profit margin?

29%

67%-68%

$904 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

52%

New Rihanna Album

$23M Vol.

$66.2K today

$858K Liq.

905

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

85%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$126K Vol.

$79.2K Liq.

36

Ends em 5 meses

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

97%

Turkey

$526K Vol.

$98.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

23%

India

$346K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

74%

GlobalFoundries

$128K Vol.

$47.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

15%

December 31

$132K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

84%

$633K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

<1%

$171K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan.

Polymarket currently hosts 24 active markets for Taiwan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $83.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.