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Geopolítica·Trump

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

icon for Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Trump

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$364,922 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$364,922 Vol.

Polymarket

Índia

$68,068 Vol.

21%

Canadá

$3,373 Vol.

19%

Taiwan

$33,373 Vol.

17%

Israel

$502 Vol.

14%

Indonésia

$19,583 Vol.

14%

Austrália

$6,206 Vol.

13%

Coreia do Sul

$58,143 Vol.

13%

Vietnã

$6,722 Vol.

13%

México

$2,755 Vol.

13%

Argentina

$22,643 Vol.

12%

Reino Unido

$563 Vol.

12%

Paquistão

$105,403 Vol.

11%

África do Sul

$438 Vol.

9%

União Europeia

$13,297 Vol.

9%

Japão

$17,163 Vol.

9%

Brasil

$4,500 Vol.

8%

Rússia

$2,191 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on broad reciprocal tariffs imposed in 2025, prompting numerous bilateral negotiations under the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program to secure lower rates and market access in exchange for frameworks addressing tariffs, investment, and supply chains. Several deals advanced in 2025–2026, including finalized agreements with the United Kingdom, Indonesia, India, Japan, Taiwan, and Jordan, alongside frameworks with the European Union, South Korea, and multiple Southeast Asian nations. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcement of these arrangements, critical minerals security, and the USMCA review, which could yield additional North American pacts. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts for further outcomes before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$364,922
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on broad reciprocal tariffs imposed in 2025, prompting numerous bilateral negotiations under the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program to secure lower rates and market access in exchange for frameworks addressing tariffs, investment, and supply chains. Several deals advanced in 2025–2026, including finalized agreements with the United Kingdom, Indonesia, India, Japan, Taiwan, and Jordan, alongside frameworks with the European Union, South Korea, and multiple Southeast Asian nations. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes enforcement of these arrangements, critical minerals security, and the USMCA review, which could yield additional North American pacts. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts for further outcomes before the 2027 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$364,922
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Índia" at 21%, followed by "Canadá" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" has generated $364.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is "Índia" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Canadá" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.