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Cuba previsões e probabilidades

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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

45%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$108K Liq.

77

Ends em 2 dias

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

39%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$86.1K Liq.

89

Ends em 6 meses

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

17%

$3M Vol.

$102K Liq.

76

Ends em 6 meses

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

10%

December 31

$794K Vol.

$62.6K Liq.

23

Ends em 2 dias

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

39%

$186K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

1%

$48.3K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

1%

$366K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

18

Ends em 2 dias

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

56%

December 31

$345K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

16

Ends em 2 dias

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by...?

2%

June 30

$45.8K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by...?

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by...?

4%

June 30

$38.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

65%

July 31

$6.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

1%

$50.7K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 dias

McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?

McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?

16%

$500 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Panama vs. Cuba

Panama vs. Cuba

50%

Cuba

$0 Vol.

$93 Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

61%

Lebanon

$485K Vol.

$228K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

30%

Lebanon

$88.4K Vol.

$210K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

17%

$1M Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

16

Ends em 6 meses

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

21%

$244K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

17

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cuba.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for Cuba that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cuba predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.