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Renunciar previsões e probabilidades

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Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

8%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$95.6K Liq.

43

Ends em 1 dia

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$495K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

28

Ends em 6 meses

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

2%

$21.2K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

<1%

July 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

91

Ends em 2 dias

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

48%

December 31

$123M Vol.

$256K Liq.

34

Ends em 6 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$114K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

34%

Jamieson Greer

$5.4K Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

41%

$118K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

15

Ends em 6 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

23%

0

$4.1K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

1%

June 30

$11.6K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

18%

$65.3K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Renunciar.

Polymarket currently hosts 11 active markets for Renunciar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tim Walz resign by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $128.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Renunciar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.