Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as president, issuing executive orders and advancing policy priorities through mid-2026 with no public statements, health disclosures, or internal signals indicating any intent to step down before the end of the year. The 2026 midterms and related partisan commentary, such as Democratic strategist predictions of frustration-driven departure, have not produced verifiable developments that would alter this trajectory. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations as exceedingly rare outside extraordinary circumstances like criminal convictions or acute crises, none of which currently apply. Traders assign a 96.7% probability to no resignation by December 31, 2026, reflecting this absence of catalysts, though late-term health events or unforeseen legal developments could theoretically shift dynamics within the resolution window.