President Trump’s early second term features sustained Republican majorities in Congress and an active policy agenda with no public signals of departure, anchoring the 93.5 percent trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. Institutional barriers to removal remain high under current constitutional processes, while historical precedent shows second-term incumbents rarely exit voluntarily. Speculation from opposition figures about midterm pressures has not shifted market pricing, as no credible announcements, health developments, or party leadership moves have emerged to suggest otherwise. Traders weigh these structural and political realities as the dominant factors keeping departure odds low through the end of next year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s early second term features sustained Republican majorities in Congress and an active policy agenda with no public signals of departure, anchoring the 93.5 percent trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. Institutional barriers to removal remain high under current constitutional processes, while historical precedent shows second-term incumbents rarely exit voluntarily. Speculation from opposition figures about midterm pressures has not shifted market pricing, as no credible announcements, health developments, or party leadership moves have emerged to suggest otherwise. Traders weigh these structural and political realities as the dominant factors keeping departure odds low through the end of next year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s early second term features sustained Republican majorities in Congress and an active policy agenda with no public signals of departure, anchoring the 93.5 percent trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. Institutional barriers to removal remain high under current constitutional processes, while historical precedent shows second-term incumbents rarely exit voluntarily. Speculation from opposition figures about midterm pressures has not shifted market pricing, as no credible announcements, health developments, or party leadership moves have emerged to suggest otherwise. Traders weigh these structural and political realities as the dominant factors keeping departure odds low through the end of next year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Trump’s early second term features sustained Republican majorities in Congress and an active policy agenda with no public signals of departure, anchoring the 93.5 percent trader consensus against resignation by December 31, 2026. Institutional barriers to removal remain high under current constitutional processes, while historical precedent shows second-term incumbents rarely exit voluntarily. Speculation from opposition figures about midterm pressures has not shifted market pricing, as no credible announcements, health developments, or party leadership moves have emerged to suggest otherwise. Traders weigh these structural and political realities as the dominant factors keeping departure odds low through the end of next year.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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