Nicolás Maduro maintains an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026 due to the persistence of regime structures following his January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces and the continuity of power under close allies. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president after the U.S. operation that also targeted narco-terrorism charges against Maduro, has pursued pragmatic engagement with Washington, including reopened diplomatic ties and selective sanctions relief, while retaining key military and institutional support. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined after boycotting U.S.-backed talks and facing ongoing restrictions, with recent reports highlighting continued detentions and limited avenues for transition. This environment, marked by authoritarian adaptation rather than wholesale change, underpins market pricing that heavily favors Maduro or his inner circle over fragmented challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLíder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Líder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 82.2%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Sem Chefe de Estado <1%
$95,575,335 Vol.
$95,575,335 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
3%
Sem Chefe de Estado
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 82.2%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.6%
Sem Chefe de Estado <1%
$95,575,335 Vol.
$95,575,335 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,749,660 Vol.
82%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,765,382 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,443,258 Vol.
3%
Sem Chefe de Estado
$1,512,342 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,152,022 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$1,213,260 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,086,592 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$803,039 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,973,041 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,632,393 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,120,631 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,397,332 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,174,420 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,800,625 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,638,258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026 due to the persistence of regime structures following his January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces and the continuity of power under close allies. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president after the U.S. operation that also targeted narco-terrorism charges against Maduro, has pursued pragmatic engagement with Washington, including reopened diplomatic ties and selective sanctions relief, while retaining key military and institutional support. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined after boycotting U.S.-backed talks and facing ongoing restrictions, with recent reports highlighting continued detentions and limited avenues for transition. This environment, marked by authoritarian adaptation rather than wholesale change, underpins market pricing that heavily favors Maduro or his inner circle over fragmented challengers.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$95,575,335Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro maintains an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026 due to the persistence of regime structures following his January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces and the continuity of power under close allies. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president after the U.S. operation that also targeted narco-terrorism charges against Maduro, has pursued pragmatic engagement with Washington, including reopened diplomatic ties and selective sanctions relief, while retaining key military and institutional support. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined after boycotting U.S.-backed talks and facing ongoing restrictions, with recent reports highlighting continued detentions and limited avenues for transition. This environment, marked by authoritarian adaptation rather than wholesale change, underpins market pricing that heavily favors Maduro or his inner circle over fragmented challengers.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,575,335Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro maintains an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026 due to the persistence of regime structures following his January 2026 ouster by U.S. forces and the continuity of power under close allies. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as acting president after the U.S. operation that also targeted narco-terrorism charges against Maduro, has pursued pragmatic engagement with Washington, including reopened diplomatic ties and selective sanctions relief, while retaining key military and institutional support. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined after boycotting U.S.-backed talks and facing ongoing restrictions, with recent reports highlighting continued detentions and limited avenues for transition. This environment, marked by authoritarian adaptation rather than wholesale change, underpins market pricing that heavily favors Maduro or his inner circle over fragmented challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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