US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which his vice president Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with Washington’s support. Rodríguez’s government has consolidated power by purging some Maduro loyalists, securing US-backed oil revenue controls, enacting limited amnesty measures, and cooperating on security operations while navigating June 2026 earthquakes that killed thousands and slowed stabilization efforts. US-brokered talks launched in August 2026 between interim officials and a faction of the opposition focus on judicial reform and asset access but exclude leading exiled figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who have declined to participate. These developments, combined with the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for a full transition by year-end, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under the existing power structure through December 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLíder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Líder da Venezuela no final de 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 83.9%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 1.8%
Sem Chefe de Estado 1.2%
$95,874,998 Vol.
$95,874,998 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Nicolás Maduro
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
2%
Sem Chefe de Estado
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 83.9%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 1.8%
Sem Chefe de Estado 1.2%
$95,874,998 Vol.
$95,874,998 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,808,398 Vol.
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,772,855 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,454,210 Vol.
2%
Sem Chefe de Estado
$1,515,210 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,215,071 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,089,772 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,164,446 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$817,575 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,982,718 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,639,300 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,130,158 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,409,737 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,183,077 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,806,629 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,127,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,758,764 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which his vice president Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with Washington’s support. Rodríguez’s government has consolidated power by purging some Maduro loyalists, securing US-backed oil revenue controls, enacting limited amnesty measures, and cooperating on security operations while navigating June 2026 earthquakes that killed thousands and slowed stabilization efforts. US-brokered talks launched in August 2026 between interim officials and a faction of the opposition focus on judicial reform and asset access but exclude leading exiled figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who have declined to participate. These developments, combined with the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for a full transition by year-end, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under the existing power structure through December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$95,874,998Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which his vice president Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with Washington’s support. Rodríguez’s government has consolidated power by purging some Maduro loyalists, securing US-backed oil revenue controls, enacting limited amnesty measures, and cooperating on security operations while navigating June 2026 earthquakes that killed thousands and slowed stabilization efforts. US-brokered talks launched in August 2026 between interim officials and a faction of the opposition focus on judicial reform and asset access but exclude leading exiled figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who have declined to participate. These developments, combined with the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for a full transition by year-end, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under the existing power structure through December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,874,998Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which his vice president Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency with Washington’s support. Rodríguez’s government has consolidated power by purging some Maduro loyalists, securing US-backed oil revenue controls, enacting limited amnesty measures, and cooperating on security operations while navigating June 2026 earthquakes that killed thousands and slowed stabilization efforts. US-brokered talks launched in August 2026 between interim officials and a faction of the opposition focus on judicial reform and asset access but exclude leading exiled figures María Corina Machado and Edmundo González, who have declined to participate. These developments, combined with the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for a full transition by year-end, underpin trader consensus favoring continuity under the existing power structure through December 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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