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UcrâNia previsões e probabilidades

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

<1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$135K today

$281K Liq.

79

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

91

Ends em 1 dia

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

42%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$340K Liq.

119

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

27%

$2M Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$630K Vol.

$228K Liq.

27

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

13%

December 31

$488K Vol.

$66.6K Liq.

7

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

<1%

$779K Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

13%

$3M Vol.

$63.0K Liq.

89

Ends em 6 meses

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$445K Vol.

$58.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$648K Vol.

$69.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$328K Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

14

Ends há 6 meses

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

13%

$118K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

61%

December 31

$35.5K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$64.3K Liq.

36

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

50

Ends há 6 meses

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

<1%

June 30

$17.6K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

<1%

$171K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

<1%

June 30

$435K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?

1%

June 30

$66.8K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UcrâNia.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for UcrâNia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UcrâNia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.