Ongoing military operations and irreconcilable positions on territorial control, security guarantees, and neutrality have kept formal Russia-Ukraine negotiations largely stalled since early 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Russia continues to condition any resumption on maximalist demands including full recognition of occupied regions, while Ukraine emphasizes European involvement, robust post-conflict security commitments, and retention of sovereignty. Kremlin statements in July 2026 indicated no immediate prospect for renewed talks despite openness to future diplomacy, amid intensified strikes and limited battlefield advances. European initiatives in London and shifting U.S. focus have added layers to the process, with any near-term ceasefire likely hinging on battlefield realities or high-level diplomatic shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$312,046 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
28%
31 de dezembro
61%
$312,046 Vol.
30 de setembro
$152,303 Vol.
28%
31 de dezembro
$141,031 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations and irreconcilable positions on territorial control, security guarantees, and neutrality have kept formal Russia-Ukraine negotiations largely stalled since early 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Russia continues to condition any resumption on maximalist demands including full recognition of occupied regions, while Ukraine emphasizes European involvement, robust post-conflict security commitments, and retention of sovereignty. Kremlin statements in July 2026 indicated no immediate prospect for renewed talks despite openness to future diplomacy, amid intensified strikes and limited battlefield advances. European initiatives in London and shifting U.S. focus have added layers to the process, with any near-term ceasefire likely hinging on battlefield realities or high-level diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Volume
$312,046Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations and irreconcilable positions on territorial control, security guarantees, and neutrality have kept formal Russia-Ukraine negotiations largely stalled since early 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Russia continues to condition any resumption on maximalist demands including full recognition of occupied regions, while Ukraine emphasizes European involvement, robust post-conflict security commitments, and retention of sovereignty. Kremlin statements in July 2026 indicated no immediate prospect for renewed talks despite openness to future diplomacy, amid intensified strikes and limited battlefield advances. European initiatives in London and shifting U.S. focus have added layers to the process, with any near-term ceasefire likely hinging on battlefield realities or high-level diplomatic shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$312,046Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations and irreconcilable positions on territorial control, security guarantees, and neutrality have kept formal Russia-Ukraine negotiations largely stalled since early 2026 rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Russia continues to condition any resumption on maximalist demands including full recognition of occupied regions, while Ukraine emphasizes European involvement, robust post-conflict security commitments, and retention of sovereignty. Kremlin statements in July 2026 indicated no immediate prospect for renewed talks despite openness to future diplomacy, amid intensified strikes and limited battlefield advances. European initiatives in London and shifting U.S. focus have added layers to the process, with any near-term ceasefire likely hinging on battlefield realities or high-level diplomatic shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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