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Desporto·Paz

Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

icon for Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia
Desporto·Paz

Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

Sim

19% chance
Polymarket

$468,392 Vol.

Sim

19% chance
Polymarket

$468,392 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting entrenched matchup dynamics amid stalled negotiations and renewed hostilities. A fragile three-day ceasefire from May 8-11, including a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap, collapsed with mutual violations—Russian drone barrages killing civilians in Kyiv and Ukrainian strikes on distant Russian gas facilities in Orenburg. Putin's May 9 claim that the conflict is "coming to an end" contrasts Lavrov's April stance of no rush to resume talks after Geneva meetings ended abruptly. Persistent frontline advances, infrastructure sabotage, and irreconcilable territorial demands reinforce the wisdom of crowds betting heavily against a breakthrough parlay resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$468,392
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus prices "No" at 81.5% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting entrenched matchup dynamics amid stalled negotiations and renewed hostilities. A fragile three-day ceasefire from May 8-11, including a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap, collapsed with mutual violations—Russian drone barrages killing civilians in Kyiv and Ukrainian strikes on distant Russian gas facilities in Orenburg. Putin's May 9 claim that the conflict is "coming to an end" contrasts Lavrov's April stance of no rush to resume talks after Geneva meetings ended abruptly. Persistent frontline advances, infrastructure sabotage, and irreconcilable territorial demands reinforce the wisdom of crowds betting heavily against a breakthrough parlay resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$468,392
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rússia x Ucrânia: Diálogo pela Paz" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" has generated $468.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" is "Rússia x Ucrânia: Diálogo pela Paz" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.