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Israel previsões e probabilidades

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

35%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$22M Vol.

$134K today

$2M Liq.

436

Ends em 6 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

62%

Lebanon

$960K Vol.

$385K today

$306K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

23%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$291K today

$659K Liq.

205

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

12%

July 31

$20M Vol.

$173K today

$270K Liq.

743

Ends há 29 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

9%

July 31

$10M Vol.

$131K today

$182K Liq.

596

Ends há 29 dias

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

55%

4

$7M Vol.

$416K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

6%

July 31

$12M Vol.

$373K Liq.

172

Ends há 29 dias

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

76%

Lebanon

$123K Vol.

$311K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

3%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

189

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

2%

June 30

$9M Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

123

Ends há 6 meses

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$461K Vol.

$52.1K Liq.

48

Ends há 6 meses

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

22%

$215K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

1%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

978

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

$224K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

22

Ends em 6 meses

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

<1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

59

Ends há 29 dias

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

92%

Decrease

$36.1K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

Israel military action against Damascus by...?

<1%

June 30

$190K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

32

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

6%

$64.8K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

29%

December 31

$692K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

17

Ends há 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 97 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $100.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.