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icon for As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?

As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?

icon for As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?

As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?

Sim

95% chance
Polymarket

$10,266 Vol.

Sim

95% chance
Polymarket

$10,266 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election is scheduled for October 27 under the Basic Law: The Knesset, following the 25th Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset committee actions in July confirmed the statutory date would stand, with party lists submitted by early September and overseas voting set to begin in mid-October. This legal timetable and absence of successful early-dissolution efforts underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major security crisis or unforeseen constitutional challenge could still prompt postponement, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,266
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election is scheduled for October 27 under the Basic Law: The Knesset, following the 25th Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after completing its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Coalition statements and Knesset committee actions in July confirmed the statutory date would stand, with party lists submitted by early September and overseas voting set to begin in mid-October. This legal timetable and absence of successful early-dissolution efforts underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major security crisis or unforeseen constitutional challenge could still prompt postponement, though no such developments have materialized in recent months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.

For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.

This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,266
Data de Término
28 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A eleição em Israel acontecerá conforme programado?" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?" is "A eleição em Israel acontecerá conforme programado?" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "As eleições em Israel acontecerão como programado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.