Recent polls from mid-September show a tight contest for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party averaging around 22 seats ahead of Likud at roughly 20, while Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc edges the opposition 54–52 in the latest Channel 13 survey—neither side reaching the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Multiple lists hover near the 3.25 percent electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel-Zelekha slate, making surplus-vote pacts and turnout decisive. Candidate lists were finalized after the September 8 deadline, with disqualification petitions pending before the Central Elections Committee, and early overseas voting set for October 20. Coalition arithmetic after results will hinge on which smaller parties clear the threshold and which bloc secures support from Arab or centrist lists.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 nov 2026
Ra'am
92%
RZP-Zehut
87%
Amcha Yisrael
64%
Reservistas e Novo Partido Econômico
19%
Azul e Branco
7%
$2,206 Vol.
Ra'am
$244 Vol.
92%
RZP-Zehut
$820 Vol.
87%
Amcha Yisrael
$241 Vol.
64%
Reservistas e Novo Partido Econômico
$591 Vol.
19%
Azul e Branco
$309 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from mid-September show a tight contest for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party averaging around 22 seats ahead of Likud at roughly 20, while Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc edges the opposition 54–52 in the latest Channel 13 survey—neither side reaching the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Multiple lists hover near the 3.25 percent electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel-Zelekha slate, making surplus-vote pacts and turnout decisive. Candidate lists were finalized after the September 8 deadline, with disqualification petitions pending before the Central Elections Committee, and early overseas voting set for October 20. Coalition arithmetic after results will hinge on which smaller parties clear the threshold and which bloc secures support from Arab or centrist lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,206Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls from mid-September show a tight contest for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party averaging around 22 seats ahead of Likud at roughly 20, while Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc edges the opposition 54–52 in the latest Channel 13 survey—neither side reaching the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Multiple lists hover near the 3.25 percent electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel-Zelekha slate, making surplus-vote pacts and turnout decisive. Candidate lists were finalized after the September 8 deadline, with disqualification petitions pending before the Central Elections Committee, and early overseas voting set for October 20. Coalition arithmetic after results will hinge on which smaller parties clear the threshold and which bloc secures support from Arab or centrist lists.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$2,206Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls from mid-September show a tight contest for the October 27 Knesset vote, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party averaging around 22 seats ahead of Likud at roughly 20, while Netanyahu’s broader right-wing bloc edges the opposition 54–52 in the latest Channel 13 survey—neither side reaching the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Multiple lists hover near the 3.25 percent electoral threshold, including Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael and the Hendel-Zelekha slate, making surplus-vote pacts and turnout decisive. Candidate lists were finalized after the September 8 deadline, with disqualification petitions pending before the Central Elections Committee, and early overseas voting set for October 20. Coalition arithmetic after results will hinge on which smaller parties clear the threshold and which bloc secures support from Arab or centrist lists.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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