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Vance previsões e probabilidades

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JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

8%

December 31

$192K Vol.

$118K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

2%

June 30

$169K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

10

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

11%

$59.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

19%

$13.3K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$641M Vol.

$316K today

$38M Liq.

975

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$666M Vol.

$269K today

$47M Liq.

429

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

1%

Any U.S. House member

$16M Vol.

$69.1K today

$387K Liq.

11

Ends em 1 dia

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

20%

Rahm Emanuel

$772K Vol.

$1M Liq.

18

Ends em 6 meses

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

5%

Steve Witkoff

$886K Vol.

$553K Liq.

32

Ends em 9 dias

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

21%

Jimmy Kimmel

$1M Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

9%

Mohammed bin Salman

$2M Vol.

$568K Liq.

60

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

40%

Qatar

$380K Vol.

$168K today

$584K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

98%

Donald Trump

$218K Vol.

$93.9K Liq.

7

Ends em 9 dias

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

85%

Jared Kushner

$16.1K Vol.

$145K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

62%

July 31

$731K Vol.

$201K today

$170K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

26%

Marco Rubio

$18.9K Vol.

$721K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 anos

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

7%

Sean Duffy

$5.4K Vol.

$61.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

1%

Marco Rubio

$193K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vance.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance out as VP by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.