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Vance previsões e probabilidades

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JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

29%

June 30

$98.3K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Bangor?

66%

Illegal

$277 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em 21 minutos

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

10

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

19%

$55.3K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$580M Vol.

$2M today

$30M Liq.

907

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36%

J.D. Vance

$616M Vol.

$976K today

$30M Liq.

389

Ends em mais de 2 anos

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$377K Vol.

$234K today

$327K Liq.

31

Ends há 4 dias

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

100%

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

$240K Vol.

$134K today

$177K Liq.

15

Ends em 3 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

56%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$120K Liq.

70

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

21%

Jared Kushner

$79.0K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

20%

Ron DeSantis

$639K Vol.

$714K Liq.

15

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

67%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$96.0K Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$387K Vol.

$124K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.5K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Hakeem Jeffries

$7.5K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

32%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7.3K Vol.

$375K Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

44%

Game

$6.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker

Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker

100%

Nicolas Kicker

$26.7K Vol.

$186K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

ITF Vic: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Ryan Nijboer

ITF Vic: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Ryan Nijboer

60%

Ryan Nijboer

$0 Vol.

$495 Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cordoba: Ryan Dickerson vs Nicolas Kicker”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.