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EleiçõEs Globais previsões e probabilidades

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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%

Abiy Ahmed

$74M Vol.

$4M today

$152K Liq.

11

Ends há 27 dias

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$640M Vol.

$403K today

$37M Liq.

973

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

57%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$107M Vol.

$307K today

$10M Liq.

12,776

Ends em 3 meses

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$105M Vol.

$304K today

$12M Liq.

575

Ends em 10 meses

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$665M Vol.

$267K today

$47M Liq.

429

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$106M Vol.

$60.0K today

$16M Liq.

14,728

Ends há 3 meses

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Gadi Eizenkot

$22M Vol.

$142K today

$2M Liq.

422

Ends em 6 meses

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

59%

United Russia (ER)

$13M Vol.

$59.6K today

$1M Liq.

261

Ends em 3 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

84%

Democratic Party

$8M Vol.

$62.0K today

$876K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

99%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$3M Vol.

$757K Liq.

49

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

39%

Sorin Grindeanu

$3M Vol.

$899K Liq.

360

Ends há 28 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

77%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$815K Liq.

43

Ends em 3 meses

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

74%

Magdalena Andersson

$3M Vol.

$517K Liq.

16

Ends em 3 meses

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

57%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$388K Liq.

76

Ends em 4 meses

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

38%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$380K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

91%

Bev Craig

$150K Vol.

$435K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

PQ

$621K Vol.

$218K Liq.

48

Ends em 3 meses

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

32%

PSD

$121K Vol.

$93.5K Liq.

8

Ends em 6 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

50%

Renan Santos

$355K Vol.

$508K Liq.

47

Ends em 3 meses

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

3%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$617K Vol.

$392K Liq.

15

Ends há 28 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for EleiçõEs Globais that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EleiçõEs Globais predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.