United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 62%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 29.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.4%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.9%
$8,170,583 Vol.
$8,170,583 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
62%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
29%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
4%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 62%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 29.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.4%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 3.9%
$8,170,583 Vol.
$8,170,583 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$2,128,497 Vol.
62%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$1,038,276 Vol.
29%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$2,272,834 Vol.
5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$654,476 Vol.
4%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$571,026 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$927,091 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$579,580 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$8,170,583Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$8,170,583Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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