United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most State Duma seats due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Recent polls from sources such as VTsIOM and FOM show the party holding 40-49% support ahead of the September 18-20 vote, well ahead of competitors despite modest rating softness linked to economic pressures. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger for second place in several surveys, polling around 10-13% and benefiting from its positioning as a younger systemic option, which accounts for its secondary market probability. The Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail further back amid Kremlin efforts to manage outcomes and limit genuine opposition gains. Scheduled primaries and candidate vetting reinforce expectations of continuity in seat distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 71%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 19.8%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.8%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.6%
$19,726,926 Vol.
$19,726,926 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
71%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
20%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
2%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 71%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 19.8%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 5.8%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.6%
$19,726,926 Vol.
$19,726,926 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$6,881,452 Vol.
71%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$2,085,148 Vol.
20%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$3,195,055 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$1,316,035 Vol.
2%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$1,515,432 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$1,119,097 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$2,339,643 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$1,275,063 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most State Duma seats due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Recent polls from sources such as VTsIOM and FOM show the party holding 40-49% support ahead of the September 18-20 vote, well ahead of competitors despite modest rating softness linked to economic pressures. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger for second place in several surveys, polling around 10-13% and benefiting from its positioning as a younger systemic option, which accounts for its secondary market probability. The Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail further back amid Kremlin efforts to manage outcomes and limit genuine opposition gains. Scheduled primaries and candidate vetting reinforce expectations of continuity in seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$19,726,926Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most State Duma seats due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Recent polls from sources such as VTsIOM and FOM show the party holding 40-49% support ahead of the September 18-20 vote, well ahead of competitors despite modest rating softness linked to economic pressures. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger for second place in several surveys, polling around 10-13% and benefiting from its positioning as a younger systemic option, which accounts for its secondary market probability. The Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail further back amid Kremlin efforts to manage outcomes and limit genuine opposition gains. Scheduled primaries and candidate vetting reinforce expectations of continuity in seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$19,726,926Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the most State Duma seats due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive administrative resources, and dominance in single-mandate districts under Russia's mixed electoral system. Recent polls from sources such as VTsIOM and FOM show the party holding 40-49% support ahead of the September 18-20 vote, well ahead of competitors despite modest rating softness linked to economic pressures. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger for second place in several surveys, polling around 10-13% and benefiting from its positioning as a younger systemic option, which accounts for its secondary market probability. The Communist Party, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail further back amid Kremlin efforts to manage outcomes and limit genuine opposition gains. Scheduled primaries and candidate vetting reinforce expectations of continuity in seat distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
A Rússia Unida (ER) irá ganhar mais assentos na próxima eleição parlamentar russa?
98%
Sim
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
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Frequently Asked Questions