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Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto

icon for Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto
Política·Canadá

Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

John Tory <1%

Polymarket

$131,367 Vol.

Olivia Chow 85%

Brad Bradford 15%

Marco Mendicino 1.0%

John Tory <1%

Polymarket

$131,367 Vol.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$31,609 Vol.

85%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$35,027 Vol.

15%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$15,119 Vol.

1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$10,533 Vol.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$8,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$8,659 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$10,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$11,463 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds the strongest position in the 2026 Toronto mayoral race due to her name recognition, established fundraising, and recent appointment of experienced campaign leadership aimed at broadening centrist support ahead of the October 26 vote. Recent polls show her leading challenger, Councillor Brad Bradford, by single digits in some surveys, with the race tightening after earlier wider margins, though Chow maintains consistent pluralities. Bradford’s active campaigning and focus on change have lifted his standing but have not yet closed the gap enough to challenge her frontrunner status in trader assessments. Minor candidates, including Chris Alexander and former mayor John Tory, register low single-digit or negligible support in polling and command minimal market pricing, reflecting limited paths to victory. The election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$131,367
Data de Término
26 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds the strongest position in the 2026 Toronto mayoral race due to her name recognition, established fundraising, and recent appointment of experienced campaign leadership aimed at broadening centrist support ahead of the October 26 vote. Recent polls show her leading challenger, Councillor Brad Bradford, by single digits in some surveys, with the race tightening after earlier wider margins, though Chow maintains consistent pluralities. Bradford’s active campaigning and focus on change have lifted his standing but have not yet closed the gap enough to challenge her frontrunner status in trader assessments. Minor candidates, including Chris Alexander and former mayor John Tory, register low single-digit or negligible support in polling and command minimal market pricing, reflecting limited paths to victory. The election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Volume
$131,367
Data de Término
26 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia Chow" at 85%, followed by "Brad Bradford" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" has generated $131.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" is "Olivia Chow" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brad Bradford" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para presidente da câmara de Toronto" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.