Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida
Byron Donalds 88%
James Fishback 10%
Jay Collins 2.7%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,527,341 Vol.
$1,527,341 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Byron Donalds
$116,894 Vol.
88%
James Fishback
$380,491 Vol.
10%
Jay Collins
$710,563 Vol.
3%
Casey DeSantis
$183,496 Vol.
<1%
Wilton Simpson
$55,804 Vol.
<1%
Matt Gaetz
$35,742 Vol.
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
$44,351 Vol.
<1%
Byron Donalds 88%
James Fishback 10%
Jay Collins 2.7%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,527,341 Vol.
$1,527,341 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Byron Donalds
$116,894 Vol.
88%
James Fishback
$380,491 Vol.
10%
Jay Collins
$710,563 Vol.
3%
Casey DeSantis
$183,496 Vol.
<1%
Wilton Simpson
$55,804 Vol.
<1%
Matt Gaetz
$35,742 Vol.
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
$44,351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds an overwhelming lead in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump’s early endorsement and sustained dominance in recent polling. A late-April Fabrizio poll showed him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of James Fishback at 9% and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 7%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. Donalds has also raised over $7 million, dwarfing rivals, in an open race created by Gov. Ron DeSantis’s term limit. Traders’ 87.5% consensus on Donalds aligns with this consistent polling advantage and institutional support ahead of the August 18 primary, while lower probabilities for Fishback and Collins reflect their limited traction despite modest recent gains.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds holds an overwhelming lead in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump’s early endorsement and sustained dominance in recent polling. A late-April Fabrizio poll showed him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of James Fishback at 9% and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 7%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. Donalds has also raised over $7 million, dwarfing rivals, in an open race created by Gov. Ron DeSantis’s term limit. Traders’ 87.5% consensus on Donalds aligns with this consistent polling advantage and institutional support ahead of the August 18 primary, while lower probabilities for Fishback and Collins reflect their limited traction despite modest recent gains.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor Republican primary
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary. His entry introduced a significant competitor to Donalds, initially reflected in market prices but ultimately did not sustain momentum.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 70%22%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary for governor, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement introduced a key challenger and shaped early market expectations, with Donalds gaining momentum as the Trump-backed candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds holds an overwhelming lead in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump’s early endorsement and sustained dominance in recent polling. A late-April Fabrizio poll showed him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of James Fishback at 9% and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 7%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. Donalds has also raised over $7 million, dwarfing rivals, in an open race created by Gov. Ron DeSantis’s term limit. Traders’ 87.5% consensus on Donalds aligns with this consistent polling advantage and institutional support ahead of the August 18 primary, while lower probabilities for Fishback and Collins reflect their limited traction despite modest recent gains.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds holds an overwhelming lead in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary due to President Trump’s early endorsement and sustained dominance in recent polling. A late-April Fabrizio poll showed him at 54% among likely GOP primary voters, far ahead of James Fishback at 9% and Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 7%, with all other candidates in single digits or lower. Donalds has also raised over $7 million, dwarfing rivals, in an open race created by Gov. Ron DeSantis’s term limit. Traders’ 87.5% consensus on Donalds aligns with this consistent polling advantage and institutional support ahead of the August 18 primary, while lower probabilities for Fishback and Collins reflect their limited traction despite modest recent gains.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Apr 1 2026
Gov. Ron DeSantis calls special session to redraw Florida congressional districts
Governor DeSantis called a special legislative session in April 2026 to redraw congressional districts, intensifying GOP infighting and political maneuvering in Florida. While this affected the broader political landscape, it had limited direct impact on the gubernatorial primary market.
Feb 25 2026
Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid continues to solidify
Byron Donalds rises to 81%3%
Byron Donalds' campaign maintained its momentum as the primary frontrunner, with his market price rising steadily throughout the period.
Dec 4 2025
Jay Collins' gubernatorial bid gains attention as lieutenant governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Following his announcement, Jay Collins' candidacy gained traction but faced challenges competing against Trump-backed Donalds, reflected in fluctuating market prices in early December 2025.
Dec 1 2025
Jay Collins announces run for Florida governor
Jay Collins plunges to 3%39%
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for governor, entering the primary race against Trump-backed Byron Donalds, which initially caused a shift in market expectations.
Byron Donalds' campaign for Florida governor, backed by Donald Trump, began the analysis window with strong market support, reflecting his status as the frontrunner.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins enters 2026 governor Republican primary
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a key ally of Governor Ron DeSantis, announced his candidacy for the 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary. His entry introduced a significant competitor to Donalds, initially reflected in market prices but ultimately did not sustain momentum.
Nov 25 2025
Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 governor run against Trump-backed Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds surges to 70%22%
Jay Collins, Florida's lieutenant governor and a DeSantis ally, officially entered the Republican primary for governor, setting up a contest against Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds. This announcement introduced a key challenger and shaped early market expectations, with Donalds gaining momentum as the Trump-backed candidate.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Byron Donalds" at 88%, followed by "James Fishback" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" is "Byron Donalds" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Fishback" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.5 million traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 88¢ for "Byron Donalds" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 88% chance that "Byron Donalds" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 88¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 12¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" market has an active community of 51 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions