In Georgia's 6th congressional district, the Republican primary on May 19, 2026, featured just two candidates, with Kevin Martin securing approximately 70% of the vote against Justin Pinker. This outcome produced an outright majority under state rules, eliminating the need for a June 16 runoff and aligning with the high implied probability traders assign to a first-round winner. The Democratic primary was effectively uncontested, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing directly. With primary results certified and no active challenges reported, the trader consensus reflects the completed vote tallies and Georgia's majority threshold for primaries. Late developments that could still shift resolution include an official recount, legal contest over ballot eligibility, or delayed certification by state authorities, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on the margin and timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
97% chance
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Sim
97% chance
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.In Georgia's 6th congressional district, the Republican primary on May 19, 2026, featured just two candidates, with Kevin Martin securing approximately 70% of the vote against Justin Pinker. This outcome produced an outright majority under state rules, eliminating the need for a June 16 runoff and aligning with the high implied probability traders assign to a first-round winner. The Democratic primary was effectively uncontested, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing directly. With primary results certified and no active challenges reported, the trader consensus reflects the completed vote tallies and Georgia's majority threshold for primaries. Late developments that could still shift resolution include an official recount, legal contest over ballot eligibility, or delayed certification by state authorities, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on the margin and timeline.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.In Georgia's 6th congressional district, the Republican primary on May 19, 2026, featured just two candidates, with Kevin Martin securing approximately 70% of the vote against Justin Pinker. This outcome produced an outright majority under state rules, eliminating the need for a June 16 runoff and aligning with the high implied probability traders assign to a first-round winner. The Democratic primary was effectively uncontested, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing directly. With primary results certified and no active challenges reported, the trader consensus reflects the completed vote tallies and Georgia's majority threshold for primaries. Late developments that could still shift resolution include an official recount, legal contest over ballot eligibility, or delayed certification by state authorities, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on the margin and timeline.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Volume
$234Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In Georgia's 6th congressional district, the Republican primary on May 19, 2026, featured just two candidates, with Kevin Martin securing approximately 70% of the vote against Justin Pinker. This outcome produced an outright majority under state rules, eliminating the need for a June 16 runoff and aligning with the high implied probability traders assign to a first-round winner. The Democratic primary was effectively uncontested, with incumbent Lucy McBath advancing directly. With primary results certified and no active challenges reported, the trader consensus reflects the completed vote tallies and Georgia's majority threshold for primaries. Late developments that could still shift resolution include an official recount, legal contest over ballot eligibility, or delayed certification by state authorities, though such scenarios remain unlikely based on the margin and timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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