The closely matched trader consensus for the 2026 Ohio Senate special election stems from polling averages hovering near even, with recent surveys from NYT/Siena and others showing margins inside the margin of error between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. Ohio’s partisan balance, Husted’s institutional edge as the sitting appointee to JD Vance’s former seat, and Brown’s established name recognition sustain the tightness, alongside mixed signals on union support and strong early fundraising for both campaigns. National midterm dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and scheduled events such as candidate debates or further endorsement shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$133,184 Vol.
$133,184 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
53%
Jon Husted (R)
49%
$133,184 Vol.
$133,184 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Sherrod Brown (D)
$73,886 Vol.
53%
Jon Husted (R)
$59,298 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus for the 2026 Ohio Senate special election stems from polling averages hovering near even, with recent surveys from NYT/Siena and others showing margins inside the margin of error between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. Ohio’s partisan balance, Husted’s institutional edge as the sitting appointee to JD Vance’s former seat, and Brown’s established name recognition sustain the tightness, alongside mixed signals on union support and strong early fundraising for both campaigns. National midterm dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and scheduled events such as candidate debates or further endorsement shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$133,184Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus for the 2026 Ohio Senate special election stems from polling averages hovering near even, with recent surveys from NYT/Siena and others showing margins inside the margin of error between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. Ohio’s partisan balance, Husted’s institutional edge as the sitting appointee to JD Vance’s former seat, and Brown’s established name recognition sustain the tightness, alongside mixed signals on union support and strong early fundraising for both campaigns. National midterm dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and scheduled events such as candidate debates or further endorsement shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$133,184Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus for the 2026 Ohio Senate special election stems from polling averages hovering near even, with recent surveys from NYT/Siena and others showing margins inside the margin of error between appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted and former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. Ohio’s partisan balance, Husted’s institutional edge as the sitting appointee to JD Vance’s former seat, and Brown’s established name recognition sustain the tightness, alongside mixed signals on union support and strong early fundraising for both campaigns. National midterm dynamics, turnout among key voting blocs, and scheduled events such as candidate debates or further endorsement shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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