Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to the seat following Marco Rubio’s departure for the Trump administration, holds a strong position in the November 2026 special election. Recent polls from July 2026, including surveys by the University of North Florida and others, show her leading likely Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida’s Republican lean, Moody’s incumbency advantage, and the state’s voting patterns contribute to trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. The Democratic primary on August 18 offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$67,151 Vol.
$67,151 Vol.
Republicano
87%
Democrata
13%
$67,151 Vol.
$67,151 Vol.
Republicano
$37,551 Vol.
87%
Democrata
$29,600 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to the seat following Marco Rubio’s departure for the Trump administration, holds a strong position in the November 2026 special election. Recent polls from July 2026, including surveys by the University of North Florida and others, show her leading likely Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida’s Republican lean, Moody’s incumbency advantage, and the state’s voting patterns contribute to trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. The Democratic primary on August 18 offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$67,151Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to the seat following Marco Rubio’s departure for the Trump administration, holds a strong position in the November 2026 special election. Recent polls from July 2026, including surveys by the University of North Florida and others, show her leading likely Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida’s Republican lean, Moody’s incumbency advantage, and the state’s voting patterns contribute to trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. The Democratic primary on August 18 offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$67,151Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody, appointed to the seat following Marco Rubio’s departure for the Trump administration, holds a strong position in the November 2026 special election. Recent polls from July 2026, including surveys by the University of North Florida and others, show her leading likely Democratic nominees Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida’s Republican lean, Moody’s incumbency advantage, and the state’s voting patterns contribute to trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. The Democratic primary on August 18 offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory before the general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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