Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$19,116 Vol.
$19,116 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$19,116 Vol.
$19,116 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$15,174 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$3,942 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$19,116Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,116Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions