Debbie Dingell's long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 6th congressional district, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+12 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Both Dingell and Republican challenger Heather Smiley advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 primaries in a district encompassing Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republicans and the structural advantages of incumbency. While a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap before November, the current partisan baseline and primary outcomes limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-06
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MI-06
$43,785 Vol.
$43,785 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$43,785 Vol.
$43,785 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$18,508 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$25,278 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 6th congressional district, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+12 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Both Dingell and Republican challenger Heather Smiley advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 primaries in a district encompassing Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republicans and the structural advantages of incumbency. While a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap before November, the current partisan baseline and primary outcomes limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$43,785Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 6th congressional district, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+12 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Both Dingell and Republican challenger Heather Smiley advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 primaries in a district encompassing Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republicans and the structural advantages of incumbency. While a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap before November, the current partisan baseline and primary outcomes limit realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,785Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Debbie Dingell's long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 6th congressional district, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean of roughly D+12 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Both Dingell and Republican challenger Heather Smiley advanced unopposed through the August 4, 2026 primaries in a district encompassing Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Republicans and the structural advantages of incumbency. While a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap before November, the current partisan baseline and primary outcomes limit realistic paths to an upset.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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