Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Republican Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. These factors, combined with the district’s suburban Baltimore-Annapolis demographics and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the structural partisan gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-03 House Election Winner
MD-03 House Election Winner
$42,295 Vol.
$42,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$42,295 Vol.
$42,295 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$20,975 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$21,320 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Republican Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. These factors, combined with the district’s suburban Baltimore-Annapolis demographics and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Republican Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. These factors, combined with the district’s suburban Baltimore-Annapolis demographics and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,295Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+12 and has been rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth secured the nomination in the June 23 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Republican Bernard Flowers emerged from a fragmented GOP primary. These factors, combined with the district’s suburban Baltimore-Annapolis demographics and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus around a Democratic victory. A Republican win would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the structural partisan gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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