Texas's 30th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, anchored in Dallas County and surrounding areas that have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid left an open seat, yet Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination in the March primary while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and past general election results exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national wave, late candidate withdrawal, or major scandal to narrow the gap before November 3 voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$47,064 Vol.
$47,064 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$47,064 Vol.
$47,064 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$41,487 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, anchored in Dallas County and surrounding areas that have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid left an open seat, yet Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination in the March primary while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and past general election results exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national wave, late candidate withdrawal, or major scandal to narrow the gap before November 3 voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$47,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, anchored in Dallas County and surrounding areas that have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid left an open seat, yet Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination in the March primary while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and past general election results exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national wave, late candidate withdrawal, or major scandal to narrow the gap before November 3 voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,064Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district remains a Democratic stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25, anchored in Dallas County and surrounding areas that have consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jasmine Crockett's decision to pursue a Senate bid left an open seat, yet Democrat Frederick Haynes secured the nomination in the March primary while Republican Everett Jackson advanced from the May runoff. Nonpartisan analysts rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and past general election results exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national wave, late candidate withdrawal, or major scandal to narrow the gap before November 3 voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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