Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in the PA-17 House race, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability of victory against the Republican nominee. The district’s partisan voting index and Deluzio’s 2024 margin of roughly eight points provide structural support, reinforced by his unopposed Democratic primary and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million raised compared with the Republican challenger’s limited totals. Tony Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who emerged from the May 19 Republican primary, faces a steep path in a seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no major late-cycle shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the consensus, leaving the race’s outcome heavily influenced by the district’s underlying partisan composition and the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPA-17 House Election Winner
PA-17 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$1,202 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$3,362 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in the PA-17 House race, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability of victory against the Republican nominee. The district’s partisan voting index and Deluzio’s 2024 margin of roughly eight points provide structural support, reinforced by his unopposed Democratic primary and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million raised compared with the Republican challenger’s limited totals. Tony Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who emerged from the May 19 Republican primary, faces a steep path in a seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no major late-cycle shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the consensus, leaving the race’s outcome heavily influenced by the district’s underlying partisan composition and the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$4,565Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in the PA-17 House race, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability of victory against the Republican nominee. The district’s partisan voting index and Deluzio’s 2024 margin of roughly eight points provide structural support, reinforced by his unopposed Democratic primary and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million raised compared with the Republican challenger’s limited totals. Tony Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who emerged from the May 19 Republican primary, faces a steep path in a seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no major late-cycle shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the consensus, leaving the race’s outcome heavily influenced by the district’s underlying partisan composition and the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,565Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Deluzio holds a commanding position in the PA-17 House race, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89% implied probability of victory against the Republican nominee. The district’s partisan voting index and Deluzio’s 2024 margin of roughly eight points provide structural support, reinforced by his unopposed Democratic primary and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million raised compared with the Republican challenger’s limited totals. Tony Guy, the Beaver County sheriff who emerged from the May 19 Republican primary, faces a steep path in a seat rated Likely Democratic by forecasters. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no major late-cycle shifts in polling or endorsements have altered the consensus, leaving the race’s outcome heavily influenced by the district’s underlying partisan composition and the incumbent’s established campaign infrastructure.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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