Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with roughly 65% in 2024, faces Republican Doug Basler in the November 2026 general election after both advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary. The district covering southern and eastern Seattle suburbs carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a D+22 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent primary results showed Smith securing nearly half the vote against a fragmented field, with no polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election contest. This setup underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. A late-breaking scandal involving Smith or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in available data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WA-09
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WA-09
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,350 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$17,556 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with roughly 65% in 2024, faces Republican Doug Basler in the November 2026 general election after both advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary. The district covering southern and eastern Seattle suburbs carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a D+22 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent primary results showed Smith securing nearly half the vote against a fragmented field, with no polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election contest. This setup underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. A late-breaking scandal involving Smith or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,906Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with roughly 65% in 2024, faces Republican Doug Basler in the November 2026 general election after both advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary. The district covering southern and eastern Seattle suburbs carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a D+22 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent primary results showed Smith securing nearly half the vote against a fragmented field, with no polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election contest. This setup underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. A late-breaking scandal involving Smith or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,906Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with roughly 65% in 2024, faces Republican Doug Basler in the November 2026 general election after both advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary. The district covering southern and eastern Seattle suburbs carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a D+22 or greater Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent primary results showed Smith securing nearly half the vote against a fragmented field, with no polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive general election contest. This setup underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical margins and the absence of major developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. A late-breaking scandal involving Smith or an extraordinary national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though such factors have not materialized in available data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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