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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 36%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 27%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 9%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar 36%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna 27%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 9%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal 7%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$67 Vol.

36%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$67 Vol.

27%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$69 Vol.

9%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$77 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$67 Vol.

5%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$87 Vol.

22%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$87 Vol.

6%

icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$87 Vol.

1%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$87 Vol.

33%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$99 Vol.

35%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$67 Vol.

36%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$87 Vol.

36%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over 15 admitted candidates for the October 4, 2026, Arequipa mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polling shows several contenders clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below, including Manuel Vera, Renzo Salas, and Ricardo Ramírez, while incumbent Ruccy Oscco Polar holds visibility but limited consolidation. The market's top prices near 38% for Oscco Polar and Ramírez, with others trailing, reflect trader assessment of this dispersion and the short window for momentum shifts. Key variables include final campaign positioning, potential late endorsements or withdrawals, and any regional economic or governance developments that could consolidate support before ballots close.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,524
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over 15 admitted candidates for the October 4, 2026, Arequipa mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Recent July polling shows several contenders clustered in the low-to-mid 20s or below, including Manuel Vera, Renzo Salas, and Ricardo Ramírez, while incumbent Ruccy Oscco Polar holds visibility but limited consolidation. The market's top prices near 38% for Oscco Polar and Ramírez, with others trailing, reflect trader assessment of this dispersion and the short window for momentum shifts. Key variables include final campaign positioning, potential late endorsements or withdrawals, and any regional economic or governance developments that could consolidate support before ballots close.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,524
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar" at 36%, followed by "Lizbeth Zavala Vilca" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" is "Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lizbeth Zavala Vilca" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Arequipa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.