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Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia
Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia

Xavier Becerra 51.0%

Tom Steyer 31.6%

Steve Hilton 8.8%

Chad Bianco 2.3%

Polymarket

$21,875,447 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 51.0%

Tom Steyer 31.6%

Steve Hilton 8.8%

Chad Bianco 2.3%

Polymarket

$21,875,447 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$862,541 Vol.

51%

Tom Steyer

$3,306,715 Vol.

32%

Steve Hilton

$1,212,897 Vol.

9%

Chad Bianco

$1,217,579 Vol.

2%

Matt Mahan

$743,349 Vol.

2%

Katie Porter

$1,063,418 Vol.

2%

Elaine Culotti

$354,642 Vol.

1%

Leo Zacky

$635,187 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$725,430 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$809,166 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$697,554 Vol.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$830,401 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$891,207 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$915,480 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$1,381,324 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$963,593 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$708,807 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$746,962 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$936,926 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$618,286 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$745,650 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$804,294 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$705,917 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With California's top-two primary just weeks away on June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Xavier Becerra as the likely gubernatorial winner at 51% implied probability, propelled by his recent surge in polls like the latest Emerson College and Mellman Group surveys showing him leading a fragmented field after strong showings in CBS and NBC debates. Tom Steyer holds second at 32%, leveraging billionaire self-funding that outpaces rivals amid voter focus on affordability and the economy. Republican Steve Hilton garners 9% with a Trump endorsement boosting GOP turnout in a blue state, while others trail amid Eric Swalwell's recent exit tightening Democratic consolidation; late shifts remain possible from undecided voters or scandals.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$21,875,447
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With California's top-two primary just weeks away on June 2, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Xavier Becerra as the likely gubernatorial winner at 51% implied probability, propelled by his recent surge in polls like the latest Emerson College and Mellman Group surveys showing him leading a fragmented field after strong showings in CBS and NBC debates. Tom Steyer holds second at 32%, leveraging billionaire self-funding that outpaces rivals amid voter focus on affordability and the economy. Republican Steve Hilton garners 9% with a Trump endorsement boosting GOP turnout in a blue state, while others trail amid Eric Swalwell's recent exit tightening Democratic consolidation; late shifts remain possible from undecided voters or scandals.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$21,875,447
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xavier Becerra" at 51%, followed by "Tom Steyer" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia" has generated $21.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia" is "Xavier Becerra" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Steyer" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Califórnia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.