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CalifóRnia previsões e probabilidades

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California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

90%

Xavier Becerra

$40M Vol.

$7M Liq.

90

Ends em 4 meses

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

35%

$3M Vol.

$404K Liq.

24

Ends em 4 meses

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

91%

Fiona Ma

$27.8K Vol.

$165K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

100%

Xavier Becerra

$934K Vol.

$800K Liq.

10

Ends há 26 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

98%

Becerra <5%

$32.0K Vol.

$75.5K Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

98%

Xavier Becerra

$11.7K Vol.

$57.4K Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

97%

Steve Hilton

$8.8K Vol.

$69.3K Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

97%

Tom Steyer

$9.9K Vol.

$63.0K Liq.

1

Ends há 26 dias

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

99%

Xavier Becerra

$28.1K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

Ends há 26 dias

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

2%

$114K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

99%

Steve Hilton

$4.8K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

1

Ends há 26 dias

Carolina Chaos vs. California Redwoods

Carolina Chaos vs. California Redwoods

53%

Carolina Chaos

$88 Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

3%

$589 Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

49%

$8.3K Vol.

$811 Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Philadelphia Waterdogs vs. California Redwoods

Philadelphia Waterdogs vs. California Redwoods

50%

California Redwoods

$0 Vol.

$13 Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

94%

California

$325K Vol.

$353K Liq.

5

Ends em 4 meses

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

86%

California

$309K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

14

Ends em 6 meses

CA-06 House Election Winner

CA-06 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$40.2K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

CA-22 House Election Winner

CA-22 House Election Winner

76%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

CA-03 House Election Winner

CA-03 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$27.8K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 81 active markets for CalifóRnia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “California Governor Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “California Governor Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Xavier Becerra. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on CalifóRnia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.