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Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur
Política·México

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 46%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas 43%

Milena Quiroga Romero 43%

José Saúl González Núñez 43%

Polymarket
NOVO

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros 46%

Manuel Cota Cárdenas 43%

Milena Quiroga Romero 43%

José Saúl González Núñez 43%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros

Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Manuel Cota Cárdenas

Manuel Cota Cárdenas

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Milena Quiroga Romero

Milena Quiroga Romero

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for José Saúl González Núñez

José Saúl González Núñez

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Susana Zataraín García

Susana Zataraín García

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

Edith Aguilar Villavicencio

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Roxana Higuera

Roxana Higuera

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Christian Agúndez Gómez

Christian Agúndez Gómez

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado

Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Fabricio del Castillo

Fabricio del Castillo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón

Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Diana Von Borstel Luna

Diana Von Borstel Luna

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar

José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Ricardo Barroso Agramont

Ricardo Barroso Agramont

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Antonio Manríquez

Antonio Manríquez

$0 Vol.

38%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Baja California Sur gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s in recent polling and multiple Morena figures clustered near the top. Internal party surveys show Christian Agúndez Gómez leading Morena preferences, while Milena Quiroga Romero and others trail within the same coalition; opposition contenders trail further behind. Traders price the field tightly because the contest hinges on coalition negotiations, primary outcomes, and turnout among key regional blocs ahead of the vote, with limited differentiation in name recognition or policy positioning so far. Late-breaking endorsements or shifts in state-level party alliances could quickly widen gaps before the official nomination window closes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Baja California Sur gubernatorial race for 2027 remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-to-mid 40s in recent polling and multiple Morena figures clustered near the top. Internal party surveys show Christian Agúndez Gómez leading Morena preferences, while Milena Quiroga Romero and others trail within the same coalition; opposition contenders trail further behind. Traders price the field tightly because the contest hinges on coalition negotiations, primary outcomes, and turnout among key regional blocs ahead of the vote, with limited differentiation in name recognition or policy positioning so far. Late-breaking endorsements or shifts in state-level party alliances could quickly widen gaps before the official nomination window closes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros" at 46%, followed by "Manuel Cota Cárdenas" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur" is "Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manuel Cota Cárdenas" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Baja California Sur" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.