United Russia, the dominant party entering the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections with roughly 310–324 seats, leads trader pricing in the 325–339 band due to the Kremlin’s administrative mobilization, party primaries emphasizing war veterans and loyalists, and a mixed electoral system favoring single-member district control. Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows party-list support near 34 percent amid economic strains and the ongoing Ukraine conflict, while independent estimates run lower; outcomes hinge on turnout, opposition fragmentation (particularly CPRF results), and district-level advantages rather than national vote share alone. The spread across mid-300s ranges reflects uncertainty over how effectively managed stability will translate into exact mandates, with factors like candidate renewal under Medvedev’s list leadership or regional election precedents able to shift volume toward 340+ or pull back toward the low 300s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?
Quantos assentos o Rússia Unida ganhará nas próximas eleições legislativas russas?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.6%
355+ 13%
$185,538 Vol.
$185,538 Vol.
20 set 2026
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.6%
355+ 13%
$185,538 Vol.
$185,538 Vol.
20 set 2026
<280
$26,802 Vol.
3%
280–294
$16,696 Vol.
4%
295–309
$11,907 Vol.
7%
310–324
$14,918 Vol.
19%
325–339
$27,806 Vol.
35%
340–354
$48,676 Vol.
23%
355+
$38,731 Vol.
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia, the dominant party entering the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections with roughly 310–324 seats, leads trader pricing in the 325–339 band due to the Kremlin’s administrative mobilization, party primaries emphasizing war veterans and loyalists, and a mixed electoral system favoring single-member district control. Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows party-list support near 34 percent amid economic strains and the ongoing Ukraine conflict, while independent estimates run lower; outcomes hinge on turnout, opposition fragmentation (particularly CPRF results), and district-level advantages rather than national vote share alone. The spread across mid-300s ranges reflects uncertainty over how effectively managed stability will translate into exact mandates, with factors like candidate renewal under Medvedev’s list leadership or regional election precedents able to shift volume toward 340+ or pull back toward the low 300s.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$185,538Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia, the dominant party entering the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections with roughly 310–324 seats, leads trader pricing in the 325–339 band due to the Kremlin’s administrative mobilization, party primaries emphasizing war veterans and loyalists, and a mixed electoral system favoring single-member district control. Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows party-list support near 34 percent amid economic strains and the ongoing Ukraine conflict, while independent estimates run lower; outcomes hinge on turnout, opposition fragmentation (particularly CPRF results), and district-level advantages rather than national vote share alone. The spread across mid-300s ranges reflects uncertainty over how effectively managed stability will translate into exact mandates, with factors like candidate renewal under Medvedev’s list leadership or regional election precedents able to shift volume toward 340+ or pull back toward the low 300s.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$185,538Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia, the dominant party entering the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections with roughly 310–324 seats, leads trader pricing in the 325–339 band due to the Kremlin’s administrative mobilization, party primaries emphasizing war veterans and loyalists, and a mixed electoral system favoring single-member district control. Recent polling from state-affiliated firms shows party-list support near 34 percent amid economic strains and the ongoing Ukraine conflict, while independent estimates run lower; outcomes hinge on turnout, opposition fragmentation (particularly CPRF results), and district-level advantages rather than national vote share alone. The spread across mid-300s ranges reflects uncertainty over how effectively managed stability will translate into exact mandates, with factors like candidate renewal under Medvedev’s list leadership or regional election precedents able to shift volume toward 340+ or pull back toward the low 300s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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