Recent polling averages position the Parti Québécois as the clear frontrunner for the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with consistent leads of 30% or higher among decided voters and favorable seat projections that favor its concentration of support among francophone voters. The Coalition Avenir Québec has seen sharp declines from its prior governing position, now polling around 20%, while the Parti Libéral du Québec trails slightly behind at roughly 25% amid leadership transitions and limited gains outside Montreal-area ridings. These patterns reflect trader consensus on the PQ's path to a majority, with smaller parties such as Québec solidaire and the Conservatives registering minimal support that limits their influence on the outcome. High levels of undecided voters earlier in the cycle have consolidated in favor of the PQ as the campaign advances, though volatility remains possible in the final weeks.