PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election polling at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the PLQ at 25–27 percent and CAQ at 20–21 percent, translating into strong trader consensus for a PQ plurality or majority of seats. The party's advantage stems from dominant support among francophone voters, who form the decisive electoral base, while the CAQ has lost ground following François Legault's resignation and leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Recent surveys show the PQ maintaining its edge through the summer pre-campaign period, with limited undecided voters shifting the race toward a three-way contest but not erasing the frontrunner's position. Linguistic polarization and dissatisfaction with the incumbent further reinforce current market positioning ahead of the official campaign launch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec
Vencedor das Eleições Gerais de Quebec
PQ 74%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 13%
PCQ <1%
$757,170 Vol.
$757,170 Vol.
5 out 2026
PQ
74%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
13%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 74%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 13%
PCQ <1%
$757,170 Vol.
$757,170 Vol.
5 out 2026
PQ
$81,430 Vol.
74%
PLQ
$101,564 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$107,974 Vol.
13%
PCQ
$207,261 Vol.
<1%
QS
$101,443 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election polling at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the PLQ at 25–27 percent and CAQ at 20–21 percent, translating into strong trader consensus for a PQ plurality or majority of seats. The party's advantage stems from dominant support among francophone voters, who form the decisive electoral base, while the CAQ has lost ground following François Legault's resignation and leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Recent surveys show the PQ maintaining its edge through the summer pre-campaign period, with limited undecided voters shifting the race toward a three-way contest but not erasing the frontrunner's position. Linguistic polarization and dissatisfaction with the incumbent further reinforce current market positioning ahead of the official campaign launch.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$757,170Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election polling at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the PLQ at 25–27 percent and CAQ at 20–21 percent, translating into strong trader consensus for a PQ plurality or majority of seats. The party's advantage stems from dominant support among francophone voters, who form the decisive electoral base, while the CAQ has lost ground following François Legault's resignation and leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Recent surveys show the PQ maintaining its edge through the summer pre-campaign period, with limited undecided voters shifting the race toward a three-way contest but not erasing the frontrunner's position. Linguistic polarization and dissatisfaction with the incumbent further reinforce current market positioning ahead of the official campaign launch.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$757,170Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, general election polling at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the PLQ at 25–27 percent and CAQ at 20–21 percent, translating into strong trader consensus for a PQ plurality or majority of seats. The party's advantage stems from dominant support among francophone voters, who form the decisive electoral base, while the CAQ has lost ground following François Legault's resignation and leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Recent surveys show the PQ maintaining its edge through the summer pre-campaign period, with limited undecided voters shifting the race toward a three-way contest but not erasing the frontrunner's position. Linguistic polarization and dissatisfaction with the incumbent further reinforce current market positioning ahead of the official campaign launch.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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