United Russia's commanding lead in the race for the most seats stems from its structural dominance in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. The party benefits from strong performance in single-mandate districts, where incumbency and administrative resources provide decisive edges, alongside its position atop party-list polling from state-aligned firms like VCIOM. Recent preparations, including leadership renewal under Dmitry Medvedev and the inclusion of pro-war figures on candidate lists, reinforce this positioning while systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent mobilization. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in the Ukraine conflict altering public sentiment or unforeseen internal divisions, though these remain low-probability events given institutional controls.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRússia Unida (ER) 95.7%
Novo Povo (NL) 2.3%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.0%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP) <1%
$1,346,778 Vol.
$1,346,778 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
96%
Novo Povo (NL)
2%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 95.7%
Novo Povo (NL) 2.3%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.0%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP) <1%
$1,346,778 Vol.
$1,346,778 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$521,107 Vol.
96%
Novo Povo (NL)
$80,703 Vol.
2%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$103,899 Vol.
1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
$228,803 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$79,346 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$222,577 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$110,343 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding lead in the race for the most seats stems from its structural dominance in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. The party benefits from strong performance in single-mandate districts, where incumbency and administrative resources provide decisive edges, alongside its position atop party-list polling from state-aligned firms like VCIOM. Recent preparations, including leadership renewal under Dmitry Medvedev and the inclusion of pro-war figures on candidate lists, reinforce this positioning while systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent mobilization. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in the Ukraine conflict altering public sentiment or unforeseen internal divisions, though these remain low-probability events given institutional controls.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,346,778Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding lead in the race for the most seats stems from its structural dominance in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. The party benefits from strong performance in single-mandate districts, where incumbency and administrative resources provide decisive edges, alongside its position atop party-list polling from state-aligned firms like VCIOM. Recent preparations, including leadership renewal under Dmitry Medvedev and the inclusion of pro-war figures on candidate lists, reinforce this positioning while systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent mobilization. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in the Ukraine conflict altering public sentiment or unforeseen internal divisions, though these remain low-probability events given institutional controls.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$1,346,778Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding lead in the race for the most seats stems from its structural dominance in Russia's managed electoral system ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma vote. The party benefits from strong performance in single-mandate districts, where incumbency and administrative resources provide decisive edges, alongside its position atop party-list polling from state-aligned firms like VCIOM. Recent preparations, including leadership renewal under Dmitry Medvedev and the inclusion of pro-war figures on candidate lists, reinforce this positioning while systemic opposition parties such as the CPRF, LDPR, and New People remain constrained by the 5% threshold and limited independent mobilization. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major shifts in the Ukraine conflict altering public sentiment or unforeseen internal divisions, though these remain low-probability events given institutional controls.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions